The Innovation Index Strikes Back in 2009

The Innovation Index had a remarkable showing in 2009, gaining 48.65%, and beating S&P 500, Dow Jones and NASDAQ. 17 of the top 20 innovators were in the green. 3 of the top 20 innovators, including Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN), Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) had over 100% gains. 16 of the top 20 innovators had double-digit gains. eBay (NASDAQ: EBAY) and Research In Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM) gained over 65% each. America Movil (NYSE: AMX), IBM (NYSE: IBM) and Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) gained over 50% each. Only 3 innovators were in the red.

2009 proved that the most innovative companies in USA are not only resilient, but bounce back bigger and faster compared to the general market. The Top 20 innovators performed extremely well, delivering explosive growth in business, profits, innovations, and stock performance.

How will the Innovation Index perform in 2010? Check back in April, 2010 for the quarterly report of the Innovation Index.

Learn about Apple's innovation strategy... How does Apple innovate, and what makes Apple the #1 innovative company in the world? Learn more...

Selected references:
Leading Business Innovation eBook & Resource Kit
Creativity and Innovation Best Practices
Creativity and Innovation Case Studies
The Innovation Index
Top 50 innovative companies in the world

The Innovation Index 2008 Performance

The Innovation Index 2008 Performance
Top 20 Innovators	Ticker	31-Dec-07	31-Dec-08	% Change
3M Company	MMM	84.32	57.54	-31.76%
Amazon.com	AMZN	92.64	51.28	-44.65%
America Movil	AMX	61.39	30.99	-49.52%
Apple	AAPL	198.08	85.35	-56.91%
AT&T	T	41.16	28.50	-30.76%
Best Buy	BBY	52.51	28.11	-46.47%
Cisco Systems	CSCO	27.07	16.30	-39.79%
Costco Wholesale	COST	69.60	52.50	-24.57%
eBay	EBAY	33.19	13.96	-57.94%
General Electric	GE	36.74	16.20	-55.91%
Google	GOOG	691.48	307.65	-55.51%
Hewlett-Packard	HPQ	50.48	36.29	-28.11%
Intel	INTC	26.50	14.66	-44.68%
IBM	IBM	107.69	84.16	-21.85%
Merck	MRK	57.61	30.40	-47.23%
McDonald's	MCD	58.51	62.19	6.29%
Microsoft	MSFT	35.46	19.44	-45.18%
NIKE	NKE	64.00	51.00	-20.31%
Research In Motion	RIMM	113.40	40.58	-64.22%
Proctor & Gamble	PG	73.05	61.82	-15.37%
The Innovation Index		108.27	66.35	-38.72%
S&P 500	^GSPC	1,468.36	903.25	-38.49%
Dow Jones	^DJI	13,264.82	8,776.39	-33.84%
NASDAQ	^IXIC	2,652.28	1,577.03	-40.54%
McDonald's Corporation is the only innovator out of the top 20 innovators that had a positive stock performance in an otherwise tough 2008. McDonald's has achieved an amazing feat that will be cherished for a long time. 8 out of the Top 20 Innovators finished averaging better performance than the S&P 500. Assumptions and Disclosures: *Assumes equal investment in each Innovator of the Innovation Index
*Innovation Index Fund is closed and ended much lower than the Innovation Index
*2009 Innovation Index will be announced the week of Jan 12, 2009
*Innovation Index Group will relaunch in 2009, without management of any fund, as an investment research and analysis company.

Selected references:
Leading eBook on Creativity and Innovation in Business
Creativity and Innovation Best Practices
Creativity and Innovation Case Studies
The Innovation Index
Top 50 innovative companies in the world

Innovator Google is still growing strong

Google delivered big this week!! And so did IBM earlier in the week. Apple is next and P&G to follow... our innovators are growing strong in tough economy. When the going gets tough, the tough get going! Google shares were up after earnings release!!

In a separate story, Warren Buffett came out telling everyone to BUY for the long-term:

Buffett's optimism is based primarily on the following:

• "Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful. And most certainly, fear is now widespread, gripping even seasoned investors."
• Cash is trash. "Today people who hold cash equivalents feel comfortable," he writes. "They shouldn't. They have opted for a terrible long-term asset, one that pays virtually nothing and is certain to depreciate in value."

Here is an analysis on Google and IBM:

Google Inc., owner of the most popular Internet search engine, advanced in Nasdaq trading after reporting profit that topped analysts' estimates, saying customers are still buying Web ads even as the economy slows. (Bloomberg reference)

While advertisers of home and auto loans cut back, makers of apparel and appliances kept spending, Chief Financial Officer Patrick Pichette said. Consumers continue to shop online, he said, with clicks on ads climbing 18 percent, near the previous quarter's 19 percent growth.

Google results, combined with better-than-anticipated reports from International Business Machines Corp. cheered investors after a decline in technology shares this month. Google showed resilience in a weakening economy, said Mark May, an analyst at Needham & Co. in New York.

``This really shows we need to give them the benefit of the doubt,'' said May, who recommends buying the shares (of Google). ``They should be able to weather the storm fairly well.''

Google's third-quarter net income rose 26 percent to $1.35 billion, or $4.24 a share, from $1.07 billion, or $3.38, a year earlier. Leaving out costs such as stock-based compensation, profit was $4.92 a share, beating the $4.75 average estimate of analysts in a Bloomberg survey.

Google, based in Mountain View, California, rose $18.03, or 5.1 percent, to $371.05 on the Nasdaq Stock Market at 9:50 a.m. New York time, after earlier reaching $378.97. The shares had dropped 49 percent this year before today.

Advertising Shift

Advertisers are cutting back on TV and print media spending in favor of ads that run alongside search listings. The Internet will account for 8.7 percent of the $284 billion in U.S. ad spending this year, up from 7.2 percent in 2007, according to Barclays Capital.

Excluding revenue passed on to partner sites, Google's sales expanded to $4.04 billion last quarter. Total revenue climbed 31 percent to $5.54 billion.

At least eight analysts had reduced their estimates for Google's third quarter this month after the global credit crisis erupted. That made it easier for the company to beat the average profit estimates yesterday.

``This was exactly the kind of shot in the arm that investors need,'' said Jeff Lindsay, an analyst with Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. in New York. ``People lost a lot of faith in the Internet, but this is exactly what the doctor ordered.''

New Contracts

IBM, based in Armonk, New York, said yesterday it signed $12.7 billion in contracts last quarter, topping the estimate of as much as $11 billion from Cowen & Co. analyst Louis Miscioscia. Winning contracts with the Royal Dutch Navy and Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. boosted the total.

``Tech is going to continue to be challenged for a period of time,'' Miscioscia, who has a neutral rating on IBM shares, said in an interview. ``To put this in perspective, IBM is up $2 after market, not $10, after falling about $20 since Oct. 1.''

Google handled 63 percent of U.S. online searches in August, double the market share of Yahoo! Inc. and Microsoft Corp. combined. That dominance has helped the company command higher prices for ads, according to Yahoo, which is awaiting government approval of an agreement to let Google sell some ads on its sites.

Cutting Back

Still, Google has reduced expenses by slowing its hiring rate and spending less on travel and events, said co-founder Sergey Brin.

``We don't know exactly what the future holds. We've taken a conservative approach,'' Brin said in an interview. ``We view this as an opportunity to refine our company and sharpen it.''

Capital expenditures fell to $452 million, down 18 percent from a year earlier, as Google made more efficient use of its computing centers, Brin said. He said he couldn't forecast whether the costs would continue to fall.

The credit crisis may cost the Internet ad market $6.7 billion in lost sales through 2010, according to Collins Stewart Plc. Big and small businesses, from General Motors Corp. to Simplexity LLC, are reducing ad spending plans, while some financial companies, such as Wachovia Corp., have disappeared.

Slower Growth?

The reductions will push down growth in U.S. Internet ad spending to less than 20 percent next year for the first time since 2002, said Sandeep Aggarwal, a Collins Stewart analyst in San Francisco. Advertisers will scale back spending on newspapers and broadcast TV networks, his firm said this month.

``Advertisers stay with the Internet because it's the way to reach the key younger demographic and that's what advertisers are really after,'' Timothy Ghriskey, chief investment officer at Solaris Asset Management LLC, said in an interview from Bedford Hills, New York.

Google, which gets almost all its revenue from Internet searches, is developing ways to advertise with images and video. The company struck a deal this month to show full-length programs from CBS Corp. on its YouTube site, splitting ad revenue with the network.

``The economic situation is so fluid that we're all sort of in uncharted territory,'' Chief Executive Officer Eric Schmidt said yesterday on a conference call. ``We've always been in this for the long term, and we believe that's even more important today than ever.''

Bottomline:
Google perhaps has the best business model - best of both worlds - when times are tough, and the economy is recessionary, advertisers market on Google and other search engines because they offer better value, better tracking and tighter budget controls. On the other hand, when the economy does improve, more advertisers will market more on Google because they simply have more money to spend. The only question is the rate of growth. But if Google can maintain 20% or better earnings and revenue growth in these trying times, this is simply remarkable. Innovation Index Group is long on Google, and is setting a revised target of $500 in 12 months.

Innovation Index Reports

• Introducing The Innovation Index
• Annual Report 2007 - The Innovation Index gains 66%
• Measuring Business Innovation Success
• Innovation Index Group BUY Recommendations
• Q1 2008 Report - Innovation Index ahead of S&P 500
• Q2 2008 Report - Top Innovators Deliver
• The Innovation Index Fund FAQ
• Top 50 Innovative Companies in the world
• Annual Report - Chapter One - Total Innovation Activity
• Annual Report - Chapter Two - The Top Innovator
• Annual Report - Chapter Three - The Innovation Insights
• Innovation and Stock Performance Correlation
• Future earnings guidance, A leading indicator
• Smart Investing In Tough Economic Times
• To Sell Or Not To Sell - You Decide
• Creativity and Innovation Best Practices
• Creativity and Innovation Case Studies

About The Innovation Index

The Innovation Index introduced in December 2006 is a weighted stock price index of the top 20 Innovators in North America.

The Innovation Index returned 66% in 2007 based on performance model, and would have returned 174% over the previous five years (2002-2006) based on historical model*. This assumes equal investment in each stock of The Innovation Index as of December 31, 2001. An average of $100 invested in The Innovation Index on December 31, 2001 returned $454 as of December 31, 2007. By comparison, $100 invested in S & P 500 returned 28% or $129, $100 invested in NASDAQ returned 34% or $136, and $100 invested in the Dow Jones Index returned 30% or $131 through December 31, 2007. The Innovation Index beats the S & P 500, NASDAQ and Dow Jones Index by more than seven times over the past six years.*

Alphabetical list of the Top 20 Innovators of The Innovation Index for 2008 and their stock ticker symbols:

3M Company - (NYSE: MMM)
Amazon.com, Inc. - (NASDAQ: AMZN)
America Movil - (NYSE: AMX)
Apple Inc. - (NASDAQ: AAPL)
AT&T Inc. - (NYSE: T)
Best Buy Co., Inc. - (NYSE: BBY)
Cisco Systems, Inc. - (NASDAQ: CSCO)
Costco Wholesale Corporation - (NASDAQ: COST)
eBay Inc. - (NASDAQ: EBAY)
General Electric Co. - (NYSE: GE)
Google Inc. - (NASDAQ: GOOG)
Hewlett-Packard Co. - (NYSE: HPQ)
Intel Corporation - (NASDAQ: INTC)
International Business Machines Corp. - (NYSE: IBM)
Merck & Co., Inc. - (NYSE: MRK)
McDonald's Corporation (NYSE: MCD)
Microsoft Corporation - (NASDAQ: MSFT)
NIKE, Inc. - (NYSE: NKE)
Research In Motion Limited - (NASDAQ: RIMM)
The Proctor & Gamble Company - (NYSE: PG)

The Innovation Index will analyze the positions and standings of the Top 20 Innovators at the end of each year. For 2008, there will be no further changes in The Innovation Index.

Disclaimer: The Innovation Index Group, Inc. invests in the stocks comprising The Innovation Index.
*Past Performance Does Not Guarantee Future Results

References:

Bloomberg story reported by: Crayton Harrison in Dallas at tharrison5@bloomberg.net; Lauren Berry in New York at lberry4@bloomberg.net

The Top 50 Innovative Companies in the World - Apple is #1 4th year in a row

Rank	Company	HQ Country	HQ Continent	Revenue Growth 2004-07* (in %)	Margin Growth 2004-07* (in %)	Stock Returns 2004-07** (in %)			Most Known for its Innovative... (% who think so)
1	APPLE	USA	North America	47	69	83			Products (52%)
2	GOOGLE	USA	North America	73	5	53			Customer Experience (26%)
3	TOYOTA MOTOR	Japan	Asia	12	1	15			Processes (36%)
4	GENERAL ELECTRIC	USA	North America	9	1	3			Processes (43%)
5	MICROSOFT	USA	North America	16	8	12			Products (26%)
6	TATA GROUP	India	Asia	Private	Private	Private			Products (58%)
7	NINTENDO	Japan	Asia	37	4	77			Products (63%)
8	PROCTER & GAMBLE	USA	North America	16	4	12			Processes (30%)
9	SONY	Japan	Asia	8	13	17			Products (56%)
10	NOKIA	Finland	Europe	20	2	35			Products (36%)
11	AMAZON.COM	USA	North America	29	-11	28			Customer Experience (33%)
12	IBM	USA	North America	1	11	4			Processes (31%)
13	RESEARCH IN MOTION	Canada	North America	56	-1	51			Products (37%)
14	BMW	Germany	Europe	6	-5	11			Customer Experience (40%)
15	HEWLETT-PACKARD	USA	North America	10	17	35			Processes, Business Models, and Customer Experience (27% each)
16	HONDA MOTOR	Japan	Asia	12	6	14			Products (40%)
17	WALT DISNEY	USA	North America	6	14	7			Customer Experience (63%)
18	GENERAL MOTORS	USA	North America	-2	NA***	-11			Products (55%)
19	RELIANCE INDUSTRIES	India	Asia	31	-7	94			Business Models (31%)
20	BOEING	USA	North America	9	32	21			Products (63%)
21	GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP	USA	North America	30	6	28			Processes and Business Models (33% each)
22	3M	USA	North America	7	5	3			Products (45%)
23	WAL-MART STORES	USA	North America	10	-2	-2			Processes (48%)
24	TARGET	USA	North America	11	3	0			Customer Experience (67%)
25	FACEBOOK	USA	North America	Private	Private	Private			Customer Experience (51%)
26	SAMSUNG ELECTRONICS	South Korea	Asia	2	-14	8			Products (42%)
27	AT&T	USA	North America	43	6	23			Customer Experience (33%)
28	VIRGIN GROUP	Britain	Europe	Private	Private	Private			Customer Experience (47%)
29	AUDI	Germany	Europe	11	11	41			Products (50%)
30	MCDONALD'S	USA	North America	7	-7	25			Customer Experience (42%)
31	DAIMLER	Germany	Europe	-11	37	28			Products (35%)
32	STARBUCKS	USA	North America	23	-2	-13			Customer Experience (60%)
33	EBAY	USA	North America	33	-37	-17			Business Models (28%)
34	VERIZON COMMUNICATIONS	USA	North America	12	0	9			Services (41%)
35	CISCO SYSTEMS	USA	North America	20	-5	12			Products (35%)
36	ING GROEP	Netherlands	Europe	7	4	11			Services (41%)
37	SINGAPORE AIRLINES	Singapore	Asia	9	5	20			Customer Experience (55%)
38	SIEMENS	Germany	Europe	1	21	22			Products (41%)
39	COSTCO WHOLESALE	USA	North America	11	-5	14			Customer Experience (46%)
40	HSBC	Britain	Europe	12	-1	4			Services (39%)
41	BANK OF AMERICA	USA	North America	12	0	0			Customer Experience and Services (23% each)
42	EXXON MOBIL	USA	North America	11	7	25			Processes (50%)
43	NEWS CORP.	USA	North America	4	4	4			Business Models (47%)
44	BP	Britain	Europe	14	-5	11			Processes (42%)
45	NIKE	USA	North America	8	-1	14			Customer Experience (43%)
46	DELL	USA	North America	7	-12	-17			Business Models (37%)
47	VODAFONE GROUP	Britain	Europe	7	-21	15			Business Models (33%)
48	INTEL	USA	North America	4	-10	6			Products (53%)
49	SOUTHWEST AIRLINES	USA	North America	15	9	-9			Customer Experience (50%)
50	AMERICAN EXPRESS	USA	North America	3	1	3			Customer Experience (35%)

2008 Report

BusinessWeek/Boston Consulting Group (BCG) recently announced the world's top 50 innovative companies for 2008.

17 of the Top 20 Innovators of The Innovation Index are included in the top 50 innovative companies of the world by BusinessWeek/BCG. This is a testament to the Innovation Index methodology and the process.

There are many new entrants in 2008. The top five innovators from last year have strengthened their positions further, and remain in the top five slots this year also. Apple is #1 for the fourth time in a row owing to another innovation milestone: Apple iPhone (check our sister blog: http://appleinnovation.blogspot.com ) Google is #2 again owing to the growth of the AdWords and AdSense businesses, and the phenomenal growth of YouTube videos post acquisition (although Google is still trying to find the appropriate business model towards making money from the millions of videos served daily). Toyota Motor remains at #3 in large part due to the dominance of hybrid cars - Toyota has expanded its position further by introducing hybrid cars in all the major car lines besides Prius, General Electric remains at #4 due to the emerging alternative energy innovations, and Microsoft rounds at #5, due to the growth of the XBox and new consumer innovations - can Microsoft retain its number 5 position in 2009?.

Tata Group - India vaults into the Top Ten innovative company list for the first time at #6. Tata was not in the top 50 innovative company list last year. Tata recently boldly acquired Jaguar and Land Rover from Ford. Although the big reason Tata is in the top ten is owing to the introduction of Tata Nano, a $2,500 new car that will revolutionize the car industry. Nintendo, at #7, is the top innovator out of Japan, thanks to the runaway success of Wii. Proctor & Gamble fell one notch to #8, but stayed in the Top Ten innovators list. P&G is a perennial innovator, and figures to be in Top Ten for the foreseeable future owing to hits such as Febreze and Mr. Clean. Another Top Ten innovator went up a notch to #9 - Sony. Sony's Blu-Ray and new product mix is causing a turnaround. Rounding out the Top Ten is Nokia out of Finland. Nokia went up 3 places and surged back in the Top Ten list. Nokia is the heavyweight in wireless, and the new Nokia models are doing rather well.

General Motors is on a comeback with exciting new electric concept cars, and remarkable new vehicles in the Buick, Hummer, Cadillac and Saturn lines. GM is on a rebound, and could have a solid 2008-2009 if it embraces the alternative energy engine technologies for the new cars. BMW, Honda Motor, Audi and Daimler are also in the top 50 innovator list on the strengths of new innovative cars that are customer friendly and in tune with the present environment. Reliance Industries, another Indian innovator, vaults into the Top Twenty list of innovators. Reliance is a household name in India - from wireless to telecommunications, technology to infrastructure - Reliance can be found in virtually every industry in India. There are key companies shining in this year's list out of England including Vodafone, BP, HSBC, and Virgin Group. Overall, 2008 list of innovators is very well-represented globally.

#25 on the list is Facebook - a new innovator who has the sixth highest trafficked website on social networking - who can one day challenge Google and MySpace.com. Although Facebook still has a long way to go.

According to BusinessWeek, "2008 list of the World's Most Innovative Companies adds three financial measures to the mix to determine the rankings. For this year's list, votes cast in the proprietary BusinessWeek-BCG survey received 80% of the overall weighting, stock returns were weighted 10%, while three-year revenue and margin growth each got 5%. While these changes -- only votes from our survey counted in the past -- marked the biggest shift yet in our rankings of the World's Most Innovative Companies, there are some similarities to previous years."

2007 Report

BusinessWeek announced (external link) the top 50 innovative companies of the world, an annual ranking compiled along with Boston Consulting Group. Click here to view the Top 50 rankings. Listed below is the 2007 Top 50 Innovative companies in the world, along with their 2006 ranking comparison.

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) is #1 again, 3rd year in a row. Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) is #2 again. And climbing up one notch is Toyota at #3. General Electric (NYSE: GE) is #4, up 2 places; Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) held steady at #5, Proctor & Gamble (NYSE: PG) went up 1 spot to #6, 3M (NYSE: MMM) went down 4 notches to #7, Walt Disney Co (NYSE: DIS) zoomed up a whopping 35 places to #8, IBM (NYSE: IBM) went up 1 place to #9, and Sony climbed 3 places to #10.

There are many new innovators in the BusinessWeek top 50. AT&T (NYSE: T), Citigroup (NYSE: C), Verizon (NYSE: VZ), Nintendo (Japan), Volkswagen (Germany), Best Buy (NYSE: BBY), Merck (NYSE: MRK) and News Corporation (NYSE: NWS) are your new companies. Besides, Royal Philips Electronics (Netherlands), Costco Wholesale (NASDAQ: COST), Pfizer (NYSE: PFE), Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ), Amgen (NASDAQ: AMGN), McDonald's Corporation (NYSE: MCD), and LG Electronics (South Korea) have vaulted into the top 50 rankings (in 2006, these companies were ranked in the top 100, outside the top 50). This means, a few innovators dropped out of the top 50.



Last year (December 2006), I started The Innovation Index of the top 20 innovators based on 2006 BusinessWeek rankings of North American companies and my own research. I had only included the top 25 publicly traded North American companies in The Innovation Index based on the BusinessWeek rankings so as to evaluate their innovation activity and stock performance on a weekly basis. I am now planning to revise The Innovation Index for 2008 based on this new ranking from BusinessWeek, and am considering including the global publicly traded Innovators - the likes of Toyota, Sony, Nokia, BMW, Samsung, Philips, Infosys (although Infosys was not included in the Top 50 this year), top innovator from China, and more - besides the North American Innovators. This would create the first global Innovation Index for 2008.

How did BusinessWeek come up with the Top 50 Innovative Companies ranking?

According to the BusinessWeek article:
"The BusinessWeek-Boston Consulting Group 2007 list of the World’s Most Innovative Companies is based on a senior management survey about innovation and was distributed electronically to executives worldwide in late 2006. In October, surveys were sent to the 1,500 largest global corporations, determined by market capitalization in U.S. dollars, with instructions to send the survey to their top 10 executives in charge of innovation. The survey was also distributed to senior management members of the BusinessWeek Market Advisory Board, an online panel consisting of BusinessWeek readers, and via the Knowledge@Wharton e-mail newsletter. Survey participation was voluntary and anonymous, and the survey closed in March, 2007. The survey consisted of 20 general questions on innovation and an optional 12 questions focused on innovation metrics.

A total of 2,468 executives answered the survey. Of those indicating their location, 77% were from North America, 12% were from Europe, and 9% were from Asia or the Pacific region. A larger share of North American voters this year may explain some movement in the rankings of some companies on our list."

Compare this to 2006 BusinessWeek rankings, wherein only 1,070 executives answered the survey, although the mix was globally representative - 46% were from North America, 30% from Eurpoe, and 16% from Asia and Pacific.

In 2007, out of the top 50 innovative companies, only 14 were outside North America; in 2006, 20 companies were outside North America. Perhaps this has to do with the executives answering the survey, and their representative global mix.

Regardless, the top 50 innovators in the world are world-class companies creating new innovations through unmatched creativity and driving profitable growth.

Creativity And Innovation in Business Definitive Guide is a 212-page collection of my handpicked 56 Creativity and Innovation best practices, case studies, articles, interviews, and insights on the current state of innovation in business. The Innovation eBook provides real-world examples on how the Top 50 Innovators including Apple, Google, GE, Proctor and Gamble, Yahoo, Toyota, Netflix, BMW, Deloitte, Timex, Frito Lays, Johnson & Johnson, Starbucks, Southwest Airlines, Microsoft, Intel and more innovate and grow their business successfully time and again, especially during trying times. Use this eBook as a guide and relevant resource to find and create game-changing innovations, unblock creativity, and make innovation successful at your business...Learn more

The Innovation Index Reports:
Introducing The Innovation Index Fund - The Innovation Index Fund introduction announcement
Top 50 Innovative Companies in the world - 2007 & 2008 Report on Top 50 Companies and Innovators
The Innovation Index closes 2007 with 66% gain, crushes major U.S. indices - 2007 Annual Report
Annual Report - Chapter One - Total Innovation Activity - 2006 Annual Report One
Annual Report - Chapter Two - The Top Innovator - 2006 Annual Report Two
Annual Report - Chapter Three - The Innovation Insights - 2006 Annual Report Insights
Innovation and Stock Performance Correlation - The Innovation Index and Stock Performance

About The Innovation Index

The Innovation Index introduced in December 2006 is a weighted stock price index of the top 20 Innovators in North America.

The Innovation Index returned 66% in 2007, and would have returned 174% over the previous five years (2002-2006). This assumes equal investment in each stock of The Innovation Index as of December 31, 2001. An average of $100 invested in The Innovation Index on December 31, 2001 returned $454 as of December 31, 2007. By comparison, $100 invested in S & P 500 returned 28% or $129, $100 invested in NASDAQ returned 34% or $136, and $100 invested in the Dow Jones Index returned 30% or $131 through December 31, 2007. The Innovation Index beats the S & P 500, NASDAQ and Dow Jones Index by more than seven times over the past six years.

Alphabetical list of the Top 20 Innovators of The Innovation Index for 2008 and their stock ticker symbols:

3M Company - (NYSE: MMM)
Amazon.com, Inc. - (NASDAQ: AMZN)
America Movil - (NYSE: AMX)
Apple Inc. - (NASDAQ: AAPL)
AT&T Inc. - (NYSE: T)
Best Buy Co., Inc. - (NYSE: BBY)
Cisco Systems, Inc. - (NASDAQ: CSCO)
Costco Wholesale Corporation - (NASDAQ: COST)
eBay Inc. - (NASDAQ: EBAY)
General Electric Co. - (NYSE: GE)
Google Inc. - (NASDAQ: GOOG)
Hewlett-Packard Co. - (NYSE: HPQ)
Intel Corporation - (NYSE: INTC)
International Business Machines Corp. - (NYSE: IBM)
Merck & Co., Inc. - (NYSE: MRK)
McDonald's Corporation (NYSE: MCD)
Microsoft Corporation - (NASDAQ: MSFT)
NIKE, Inc. - (NYSE: NKE)
Research In Motion Limited - (NASDAQ: RIMM)
The Proctor & Gamble Company - (NYSE: PG)

The Innovation Index will analyze the positions and standings of the Top 20 Innovators at the end of each year. For 2008, there will be no further changes in The Innovation Index.

Disclaimer: The Innovation Index Group, Inc. invests in the stocks comprising The Innovation Index.

Additional Labels:
top 5 innovative companies
innovative companies
top innovative companies
top companies on innovation and creativity
innovation and creativity top 50
creativity and innovation in business
top 10 creative and innovative companies
top 10 innovator
top 100 innovative business
top 10 innovative companies
top 50 innovative companies

Originally published: May 11, 2007
Updated: April 22, 2008, May 21, 2009
*Past performance does not guarantee future returns

Google Rises To Dizzying Heights

Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) announced the quarterly earnings yesterday after market close. Google blew away the earnings, topped the analyst estimates, and importantly, shook off the investor worries about Google's revenue and earnings growth. There were many doubts going into Google's earnings announcement - whether Google can sustain the market share, whether AdWords is producing enough clicks, whether Google can continue the torrid growth. Google erased these doubts in one swift announcement, and investors who were on the sidelines rejoined Google's party.

Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) is one of the Top 20 Innovators of The Innovation Index. Innovation Index Group has a BUY recommendation for Google with Q4, 2008 price target between $675 to $745.

Google shares are up 21.40% in one day at $545.90 currently. Google shares are still down 22% for the year after today's run up.

What were the earnings specifics?

"Google reported revenues of $5.19 billion for the quarter ended March 31, 2008, an increase of 42% compared to the first quarter of 2007 and an increase of 7% compared to the fourth quarter of 2007.

GAAP operating income for the first quarter of 2008 was $1.55 billion, or 30% of revenues. This compares to GAAP operating income of $1.44 billion, or 30% of revenues, in the fourth quarter of 2007.

GAAP net income for the first quarter of 2008 was $1.31 billion as compared to $1.21 billion in the fourth quarter of 2007.

Non-GAAP EPS in the first quarter of 2008 was $4.84, compared to $4.43 in the fourth quarter of 2007."

Which Google properties showed strength?

Google Sites Revenues - Google-owned sites generated revenues of $3.40 billion, or 66% of total revenues, in the first quarter of 2008. This represents a 49% increase over first quarter 2007 revenues of $2.28 billion and a 9% increase over fourth quarter 2007 revenues of $3.12 billion.

Google Network Revenues - Google’s partner sites generated revenues, through AdSense programs, of $1.69 billion, or 33% of total revenues, in the first quarter of 2008.

International Revenues - Revenues from outside of the United States totaled $2.65 billion, representing 51% of total revenues in the first quarter of 2008, compared to 47% in the first quarter of 2007 and 48% in the fourth quarter of 2007.

Paid Clicks – Aggregate paid clicks, which include clicks related to ads served on Google sites and the sites of our AdSense partners, increased approximately 20% over the first quarter of 2007 and approximately 4% over the fourth quarter of 2007.

Google performed rather well globally, and the all important Paid Clicks continued the upward growth with a 4% increase from the last quarter of 2007. This was perhaps the measure that most investors were worried about. Ultimately, a growth in search market share should translate into an equitable growth in Paid Clicks. The Paid Clicks growth does represent a 56% drop from previous quarter's growth of 9% (Google Paid Clicks had grown 9% in last quarter of 2007 from the third quarter of 2007). Is the Google Paid Clicks growth slowing? Would Google Paid Clicks go back to greater than 5% growth quarter over quarter once Google begins growing Search market share and make the Paid Clicks engine even more efficient?

Bottomline:

Google delivered. Google also consummated the DoubleClick acquisition in March 2008. The Top 20 Innovators of the The Innovation Index have been delivering on their earnings - IBM, eBay, Intel, Research In Motion, Nike, Best Buy have all met or beat their quarterly earnings. Whereas the market was upbeat after their earnings announcements, the market is exuberant today. The major U.S. indices are up about 2% today. Google has quenched the investor sentiments today, and if the overall U.S. economy improves in the 2nd half of 2008, watch out! Can Google be a $1,000 stock in 2009? If Google continues this growth trajectory, why not? Only time will tell.

About Innovation Index Group:

Innovation Index Group, Inc. is a new investment management company focused on systematically identifying, tracking and investing in the most innovative publicly traded companies in North America – collectively called the Innovation Index. We have developed the Innovation Index Fund, LLC as our first vehicle to invest in the Innovation Index. Over the past six years, the Innovation Index has generated a gross average annual return of 40%.

Innovation Index Group, Inc. and Innovation Index Fund LLC are registered California Corporations, and member of the Irvine Chamber of Commerce in Orange County. Further, Innovation Index Fund LLC is a private placement investment partnership organized under the California state regulations.

The Innovation Index Reports:

Invest in The Innovation Index - Innovation Index Fund tracks The Innovation Index
The Innovation Index closes 2007 at 66% - 2007 Annual Report on the Innovation Index
Top 50 Innovative Companies in the world - 2007 Report on Top 50 Innovative Companies
Annual Report - Chapter One - Total Innovation Activity - 2006 Annual Report One
Annual Report - Chapter Two - The Top Innovator - 2006 Annual Report Two
Annual Report - Chapter Three - The Innovation Insights - 2006 Annual Report Insights
Innovation and Stock Performance Correlation - The Innovation Index and Stock Performance

About The Innovation Index

The Innovation Index introduced in December 2006 is a weighted stock price index of the top 20 Innovators in North America.

The Innovation Index returned 66% in 2007, and returned 174% over the previous five years (2002-2006). This assumes equal investment in each stock of The Innovation Index as of December 31, 2001. An average of $100 invested in The Innovation Index on December 31, 2001 returned $454 as of December 31, 2007. By comparison, $100 invested in S & P 500 returned 28% or $129, $100 invested in NASDAQ returned 34% or $136, and $100 invested in the Dow Jones Index returned 30% or $131 through December 31, 2007. The Innovation Index beats the S & P 500, NASDAQ and Dow Jones Index by more than seven times over the past six years.*

Alphabetical list of the Top 20 Innovators of The Innovation Index for 2008 and their stock ticker symbols:

3M Company - (NYSE: MMM)
Amazon.com, Inc. - (NASDAQ: AMZN)
America Movil - (NYSE: AMX)
Apple Inc. - (NASDAQ: AAPL)
AT&T Inc. - (NYSE: T)
Best Buy Co., Inc. - (NYSE: BBY)
Cisco Systems, Inc. - (NASDAQ: CSCO)
Costco Wholesale Corporation - (NASDAQ: COST)
eBay Inc. - (NASDAQ: EBAY)
General Electric Co. - (NYSE: GE)
Google Inc. - (NASDAQ: GOOG)
Hewlett-Packard Co. - (NYSE: HPQ)
Intel Corporation - (NYSE: INTC)
International Business Machines Corp. - (NYSE: IBM)
Merck & Co., Inc. - (NYSE: MRK)
McDonald's Corporation (NYSE: MCD)
Microsoft Corporation - (NASDAQ: MSFT)
NIKE, Inc. - (NYSE: NKE)
Research In Motion Limited - (NASDAQ: RIMM)
The Proctor & Gamble Company - (NYSE: PG)

The Innovation Index will analyze the positions and standings of the Top 20 Innovators at the end of each year. For 2008, there will be no further changes in The Innovation Index.

Disclaimer: The Innovation Index Group, Inc. invests in the stocks comprising The Innovation Index.
*Past Performance Does Not Guarantee Future Results

References:
Google Press Release