Showing posts with label msft. Show all posts
Showing posts with label msft. Show all posts

Wednesday, February 24, 2010

The Innovation Index Strikes Back in 2009

The Innovation Index 2009 Performance of the Top 20 InnovatorsThe Innovation Index had a remarkable showing in 2009, gaining 48.65%, and beating S&P 500, Dow Jones and NASDAQ. 17 of the top 20 innovators were in the green. 3 of the top 20 innovators, including Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN), Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) had over 100% gains. 16 of the top 20 innovators had double-digit gains. eBay (NASDAQ: EBAY) and Research In Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM) gained over 65% each. America Movil (NYSE: AMX), IBM (NYSE: IBM) and Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) gained over 50% each. Only 3 innovators were in the red.

2009 proved that the most innovative companies in USA are not only resilient, but bounce back bigger and faster compared to the general market. The Top 20 innovators performed extremely well, delivering explosive growth in business, profits, innovations, and stock performance.

How will the Innovation Index perform in 2010? Check back in April, 2010 for the quarterly report of the Innovation Index.

Learn about Apple's innovation strategy... How does Apple innovate, and what makes Apple the #1 innovative company in the world? Learn more...

Selected references:
Leading Business Innovation eBook & Resource Kit
Creativity and Innovation Best Practices
Creativity and Innovation Case Studies
The Innovation Index
Top 50 innovative companies in the world

Sunday, January 11, 2009

The Innovation Index 2008 Performance

The Innovation Index 2008 Performance
Top 20 InnovatorsTicker31-Dec-0731-Dec-08% Change
3M Company MMM84.3257.54-31.76%
Amazon.com
AMZN92.6451.28-44.65%
America Movil AMX61.3930.99-49.52%
AppleAAPL198.0885.35-56.91%
AT&TT41.1628.50-30.76%
Best BuyBBY52.5128.11-46.47%
Cisco SystemsCSCO27.0716.30-39.79%
Costco Wholesale
COST69.6052.50-24.57%
eBayEBAY33.1913.96-57.94%
General ElectricGE36.7416.20-55.91%
GoogleGOOG691.48307.65-55.51%
Hewlett-Packard
HPQ50.4836.29-28.11%
Intel
INTC26.5014.66-44.68%
IBM
IBM107.6984.16-21.85%
Merck
MRK57.6130.40-47.23%
McDonald's
MCD58.5162.196.29%
Microsoft
MSFT35.4619.44-45.18%
NIKE
NKE64.0051.00-20.31%
Research In MotionRIMM113.4040.58-64.22%
Proctor & GamblePG73.0561.82-15.37%
The Innovation Index108.2766.35-38.72%
S&P 500^GSPC1,468.36903.25-38.49%
Dow Jones^DJI13,264.828,776.39-33.84%
NASDAQ^IXIC2,652.281,577.03-40.54%
McDonald's Corporation is the only innovator out of the top 20 innovators that had a positive stock performance in an otherwise tough 2008. McDonald's has achieved an amazing feat that will be cherished for a long time.

8 out of the Top 20 Innovators finished averaging better performance than the S&P 500.

Assumptions and Disclosures:
*Assumes equal investment in each Innovator of the Innovation Index
*Innovation Index Fund is closed and ended much lower than the Innovation Index
*2009 Innovation Index will be announced the week of Jan 12, 2009
*Innovation Index Group will relaunch in 2009, without management of any fund, as an investment research and analysis company.
Selected references:
Leading eBook on Creativity and Innovation in Business
Creativity and Innovation Best Practices
Creativity and Innovation Case Studies
The Innovation Index
Top 50 innovative companies in the world

Friday, April 25, 2008

Amazon.com, Apple, AT&T, McDonald's, 3M and Microsoft - Innovators Earnings Report

Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN), Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL), AT&T (NYSE: T), McDonald's (NYSE: MCD), 3M (NYSE: MMM) and Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) delivered solid results, and either met or beat the first quarterly earnings. These are six of the Top 20 Innovators of The Innovation Index.

Amazon.com "Net sales increased 37% to $4.13 billion in the first quarter, compared with $3.02 billion in first quarter 2007. Operating income increased 36% to $198 million in the first quarter, compared with $145 million in first quarter 2007. Net income increased 30% to $143 million in the first quarter, or $0.34 per diluted share, compared with net income of $111 million, or $0.26 per diluted share, in first quarter 2007." - Solid results at Amazon. Amazon.com showed the street that it can grow the revenue and grow the income at the same time.

New innovations at Amazon.com:

-- Kindle selection continues to grow - with more than 115,000 titles now available, up from 90,000 at launch.

-- Amazon Web Services (AWS) launched Elastic IP addresses and the ability to provide compute instances in multiple zones; over 370,000 developers have registered to use AWS, up more than 35,000 from last quarter.

-- Newly launched TextBuyIt (www.textbuyit.com) service lets customers use text messages to find and buy products sold on Amazon.com.

Business highlights at Amazon.com:

-- The number of sellers using Fulfillment by Amazon increased by more than 50% compared with fourth quarter 2007.

-- Worldwide Media sales grew 28% to $2.54 billion in first quarter 2008, compared with $1.99 billion in first quarter 2007.

-- Worldwide Electronics & Other General Merchandise sales grew 56% to $1.48 billion in first quarter 2008.

Apple Inc. "announced financial results for its fiscal 2008 second quarter ended March 29, 2008. The Company posted revenue of $7.51 billion and net quarterly profit of $1.05 billion, or $1.16 per diluted share. Apple revenue increased by 43%, and net profit increased by 36%. These results compare to revenue of $5.26 billion and net quarterly profit of $770 million, or $.87 per diluted share, in the year-ago quarter. Gross margin was 32.9 percent, down from 35.1 percent in the year-ago quarter. International sales accounted for 44 percent of the quarter's revenue.

Apple shipped 2,289,000 Macintosh(R) computers during the quarter, representing 51 percent unit growth and 54 percent revenue growth over the year-ago quarter. The Company sold 10,644,000 iPods during the quarter, representing one percent unit growth and eight percent revenue growth over the year-ago quarter. Quarterly iPhone(TM) sales were 1,703,000" -
Great Earnings Report from Apple. Although Apple had provided a very conservative quarterly forecast in January, 2008, Apple beat the high end estimates on revenue, and came on the high end estimates on earnings. Apple once again gave a conservative outlook for the future. The street should get an idea now. Mac business is solid. iPod volume business is stalling, however Apple is selling higher priced iPods. iPhone business is strong, and Apple is on track to sell 10 million or higher iPhones in 2008.

AT&T's "revenues totaled $30.7 billion, up 6.1 percent versus reported results in the year-earlier quarter and up 4.6 percent compared with first-quarter 2007 pro forma revenues, which exclude merger-related accounting impacts on directory revenues. This marks a substantial step up from year-over-year pro forma revenue growth of 2.9 percent in the fourth quarter of 2007 and 1.7 percent in the first quarter of 2007.

AT&T's reported first-quarter 2008 net income totaled $3.5 billion, up 21.5 percent from $2.8 billion in the year-earlier first quarter, and reported earnings per diluted share totaled $0.57, up 26.7 percent from $0.45 in the first quarter of 2007."

AT&T delivered strong wireless growth in the first quarter, reflecting the company's high-quality network, innovative services, attractive handset selection, extensive sales reach and continued improvements in operations.

Of particular interest was "an accelerated Ramp in AT&T U-verse TV Services. Growth in AT&T U-verse TV service, the company's next-generation IP-based video service, continued its strong ramp during the first quarter, achieving a net subscriber gain of 148,000 to reach 379,000 in service. AT&T expects a further ramp in the quarters ahead and is on track to reach its target of more than 1 million subscribers by the end of 2008. Total video connections, which include AT&T U-verse service and bundled satellite television service, increased by 264,000 in the quarter to reach 2.6 million."

AT&T is using scale to an advantage, and also creating new innovations such as U-verse TV to attract new buyers and grow into new markets. AT&T had a good quarter, and provided a conservative outlook.

McDonald's reported the following first quarter highlights:

-- Global comparable sales increased 7.4%
-- Growth in consolidated Company-operated and franchised restaurant
margins for the ninth consecutive quarter
-- Consolidated operating income increased 24% (16% in constant
currencies)
-- Earnings per share were $0.81, up 31% versus $0.62 in 2007, and
included $0.05 per share of currency benefit

McDonald's surprised everyone with the strong global growth. For the quarter, Europe and Asia/Pacific, Middle East and Africa both delivered double-digit revenue and operating income growth. McDonald's is a growth business, and expect 2008 is poised to be an excellent year for the Big Mac.

3M announced first-quarter sales of $6.5 billion, an increase of 8.9 percent over last year. Net income was $988 million, or $1.38 per share, versus $1.4 billion, or $1.85 per share in the first quarter of 2007. Included in first quarter 2007 results are net gains of $422 million, or $0.57 per share, from the sale of the company's branded pharmaceuticals business in Europe, net of other various special items (a-c). Excluding the impact of these items, first quarter 2008 earnings per share increased 7.8 percent.

Key 3M highlights:

Industrial and Transportation
-- Sales increased 17.1 percent to $2.1 billion.

Health Care
-- Sales rose 12 percent to $1.1 billion.

Safety, Security and Protection Services
-- Sales of $859 million, up 13.4 percent.

3M gave a modest guidance for the rest of 2008, but "reiterated its 2008 earnings expectations. The company continues to expect full-year 2008 earnings to increase a minimum of 10 percent over 2007 earnings-per-share of $4.98, which excludes special items." 3M met the earnings estimates; however, the weak outlook drove down 3M shares during the week.

Finally, Microsoft announced third-quarter revenue, operating income and diluted earnings per share of $14.45 billion, $4.41 billion and $0.47, respectively. Microsoft surprised the street with mild earnings and mild outlook, whereas in January of 2008, Microsoft had given a strong guidance. Microsoft client division revenue that sells Windows Vista and Windows XP came in below the mid-range of the expectations, and the business division also stalled from last year. The street reacted by a corresponding decrease in share price. Although, if one looks under the hood, there are many positives in Microsoft's earnings.

Entertainment and Devices revenue for the quarter grew 68% over the comparable period last year driven by robust demand for Xbox 360 consoles. Cumulative console sales surpassed 19 million during the quarter, up 74% from a year ago. Server and Tools revenue growth of 18% added to its string of consecutive double-digit revenue growth quarters, which now stands at 23.

Would Microsoft turnaround and create a strong growth in the 2nd half of 2008? Would the proposed merger with Yahoo help Microsoft's business or distract it from executing?

Is Apple winning marketshare against Windows Vista? Apple had a strong surge in Mac business. Can Apple reclaim the position, slowly but surely, in the PC business? Apple has a really long way to go.... but if Apple can get to the 10% marketshare of the overall PC business worldwide, this would mark a significant milestone and signal a shift.

Innovation Index Group has BUY Recommendations for AAPL, AMZN, MCD, MMM, MSFT and AT&T.

About Innovation Index Group:

Innovation Index Group, Inc. is a new investment management company focused on systematically identifying, tracking and investing in the most innovative publicly traded companies in North America – collectively called the Innovation Index. We have developed the Innovation Index Fund, LLC as our first vehicle to invest in the Innovation Index. Over the past six years, the Innovation Index has generated a gross average annual return of 40%.

Innovation Index Group, Inc. and Innovation Index Fund LLC are registered California Corporations, and member of the Irvine Chamber of Commerce in Orange County. Further, Innovation Index Fund LLC is a private placement investment partnership organized under the California state regulations.

The Innovation Index Reports:

Invest in The Innovation Index - Innovation Index Fund tracks The Innovation Index
The Innovation Index closes 2007 at 66% - 2007 Annual Report on the Innovation Index
Top 50 Innovative Companies in the world
- 2007 Report on Top 50 Innovative Companies
Annual Report - Chapter One - Total Innovation Activity - 2006 Annual Report One
Annual Report - Chapter Two - The Top Innovator - 2006 Annual Report Two
Annual Report - Chapter Three - The Innovation Insights - 2006 Annual Report Insights
Innovation and Stock Performance Correlation - The Innovation Index and Stock Performance

About The Innovation Index

The Innovation Index introduced in December 2006 is a weighted stock price index of the top 20 Innovators in North America.

The Innovation Index returned 66% in 2007 based on performance model, and would have returned 174% over the previous five years (2002-2006) based on historical model*. This assumes equal investment in each stock of The Innovation Index as of December 31, 2001. An average of $100 invested in The Innovation Index on December 31, 2001 returned $454 as of December 31, 2007. By comparison, $100 invested in S & P 500 returned 28% or $129, $100 invested in NASDAQ returned 34% or $136, and $100 invested in the Dow Jones Index returned 30% or $131 through December 31, 2007. The Innovation Index beats the S & P 500, NASDAQ and Dow Jones Index by more than seven times over the past six years.*

Alphabetical list of the Top 20 Innovators of The Innovation Index for 2008 and their stock ticker symbols:

3M Company - (NYSE: MMM)
Amazon.com, Inc. - (NASDAQ: AMZN)
America Movil - (NYSE: AMX)
Apple Inc. - (NASDAQ: AAPL)
AT&T Inc. - (NYSE: T)
Best Buy Co., Inc. - (NYSE: BBY)
Cisco Systems, Inc. - (NASDAQ: CSCO)
Costco Wholesale Corporation - (NASDAQ: COST)
eBay Inc. - (NASDAQ: EBAY)
General Electric Co. - (NYSE: GE)
Google Inc. - (NASDAQ: GOOG)
Hewlett-Packard Co. - (NYSE: HPQ)
Intel Corporation - (NASDAQ: INTC)
International Business Machines Corp. - (NYSE: IBM)
Merck & Co., Inc. - (NYSE: MRK)
McDonald's Corporation (NYSE: MCD)
Microsoft Corporation - (NASDAQ: MSFT)
NIKE, Inc. - (NYSE: NKE)
Research In Motion Limited - (NASDAQ: RIMM)
The Proctor & Gamble Company - (NYSE: PG)

The Innovation Index will analyze the positions and standings of the Top 20 Innovators at the end of each year. For 2008, there will be no further changes in The Innovation Index.

Disclaimer: The Innovation Index Group, Inc. invests in the stocks comprising The Innovation Index.
*Past Performance Does Not Guarantee Future Results

References:
Company Press Releases

Tuesday, April 22, 2008

The Top 50 Innovative Companies in the World - Apple is #1 4th year in a row

Rank
Company
HQ Country
HQ Continent
Revenue Growth
2004-07*
(in %)
Margin Growth
2004-07*
(in %)
Stock Returns
2004-07**
(in %)


Most Known for its
Innovative...
(% who think so)
1 APPLE USANorth America47 69 83

Products (52%)
2 GOOGLE USANorth America73 5 53

Customer Experience (26%)
3 TOYOTA MOTOR JapanAsia12 1 15

Processes (36%)
4 GENERAL ELECTRIC USANorth America9 1 3

Processes (43%)
5 MICROSOFT USANorth America16 8 12

Products (26%)
6 TATA GROUP IndiaAsiaPrivatePrivatePrivate

Products (58%)
7 NINTENDO JapanAsia37 4 77

Products (63%)
8 PROCTER & GAMBLE USANorth America16 4 12

Processes (30%)
9 SONY JapanAsia8 13 17

Products (56%)
10 NOKIA FinlandEurope20 2 35

Products (36%)
11 AMAZON.COM USANorth America29 -11 28

Customer Experience (33%)
12 IBM USANorth America1 11 4

Processes (31%)
13 RESEARCH IN MOTION CanadaNorth America56 -1 51

Products (37%)
14 BMW GermanyEurope6 -5 11

Customer Experience (40%)
15 HEWLETT-PACKARD USANorth America10 17 35

Processes, Business Models, and Customer Experience (27% each)
16 HONDA MOTOR JapanAsia12 6 14

Products (40%)
17 WALT DISNEY USANorth America6 14 7

Customer Experience (63%)
18 GENERAL MOTORS USANorth America-2 NA***-11

Products (55%)
19 RELIANCE INDUSTRIES IndiaAsia31 -7 94

Business Models (31%)
20 BOEING USANorth America9 32 21

Products (63%)
21 GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP USANorth America30 6 28

Processes and Business Models (33% each)
22 3M USANorth America7 5 3

Products (45%)
23 WAL-MART STORES USANorth America10 -2 -2

Processes (48%)
24 TARGET USANorth America11 3 0

Customer Experience (67%)
25 FACEBOOK USANorth AmericaPrivatePrivatePrivate

Customer Experience (51%)
26 SAMSUNG ELECTRONICS South KoreaAsia2 -14 8

Products (42%)
27 AT&T USANorth America43 6 23

Customer Experience (33%)
28 VIRGIN GROUP BritainEuropePrivatePrivatePrivate

Customer Experience (47%)
29 AUDI GermanyEurope11 11 41

Products (50%)
30 MCDONALD'S USANorth America7 -7 25

Customer Experience (42%)
31 DAIMLER GermanyEurope-11 37 28

Products (35%)
32 STARBUCKS USANorth America23 -2 -13

Customer Experience (60%)
33 EBAY USANorth America33 -37 -17

Business Models (28%)
34 VERIZON COMMUNICATIONS USANorth America12 0 9

Services (41%)
35 CISCO SYSTEMS USANorth America20 -5 12

Products (35%)
36 ING GROEP NetherlandsEurope7 4 11

Services (41%)
37 SINGAPORE AIRLINES SingaporeAsia9 5 20

Customer Experience (55%)
38 SIEMENS GermanyEurope1 21 22

Products (41%)
39 COSTCO WHOLESALE USANorth America11 -5 14

Customer Experience (46%)
40 HSBC BritainEurope12 -1 4

Services (39%)
41 BANK OF AMERICA USANorth America12 0 0

Customer Experience and Services (23% each)
42 EXXON MOBIL USANorth America11 7 25

Processes (50%)
43 NEWS CORP. USANorth America4 4 4

Business Models (47%)
44 BP BritainEurope14 -5 11

Processes (42%)
45 NIKE USANorth America8 -1 14

Customer Experience (43%)
46 DELL USANorth America7 -12 -17

Business Models (37%)
47 VODAFONE GROUP BritainEurope7 -21 15

Business Models (33%)
48 INTEL USANorth America4 -10 6

Products (53%)
49 SOUTHWEST AIRLINES USANorth America15 9 -9

Customer Experience (50%)
50 AMERICAN EXPRESS USANorth America3 1 3

Customer Experience (35%)

2008 Report

BusinessWeek/Boston Consulting Group (BCG) recently announced the world's top 50 innovative companies for 2008.

17 of the Top 20 Innovators of The Innovation Index are included in the top 50 innovative companies of the world by BusinessWeek/BCG. This is a testament to the Innovation Index methodology and the process.

There are many new entrants in 2008. The top five innovators from last year have strengthened their positions further, and remain in the top five slots this year also. Apple is #1 for the fourth time in a row owing to another innovation milestone: Apple iPhone (check our sister blog: http://appleinnovation.blogspot.com ) Google is #2 again owing to the growth of the AdWords and AdSense businesses, and the phenomenal growth of YouTube videos post acquisition (although Google is still trying to find the appropriate business model towards making money from the millions of videos served daily). Toyota Motor remains at #3 in large part due to the dominance of hybrid cars - Toyota has expanded its position further by introducing hybrid cars in all the major car lines besides Prius, General Electric remains at #4 due to the emerging alternative energy innovations, and Microsoft rounds at #5, due to the growth of the XBox and new consumer innovations - can Microsoft retain its number 5 position in 2009?.

Tata Group - India vaults into the Top Ten innovative company list for the first time at #6. Tata was not in the top 50 innovative company list last year. Tata recently boldly acquired Jaguar and Land Rover from Ford. Although the big reason Tata is in the top ten is owing to the introduction of Tata Nano, a $2,500 new car that will revolutionize the car industry. Nintendo, at #7, is the top innovator out of Japan, thanks to the runaway success of Wii. Proctor & Gamble fell one notch to #8, but stayed in the Top Ten innovators list. P&G is a perennial innovator, and figures to be in Top Ten for the foreseeable future owing to hits such as Febreze and Mr. Clean. Another Top Ten innovator went up a notch to #9 - Sony. Sony's Blu-Ray and new product mix is causing a turnaround. Rounding out the Top Ten is Nokia out of Finland. Nokia went up 3 places and surged back in the Top Ten list. Nokia is the heavyweight in wireless, and the new Nokia models are doing rather well.

General Motors is on a comeback with exciting new electric concept cars, and remarkable new vehicles in the Buick, Hummer, Cadillac and Saturn lines. GM is on a rebound, and could have a solid 2008-2009 if it embraces the alternative energy engine technologies for the new cars. BMW, Honda Motor, Audi and Daimler are also in the top 50 innovator list on the strengths of new innovative cars that are customer friendly and in tune with the present environment. Reliance Industries, another Indian innovator, vaults into the Top Twenty list of innovators. Reliance is a household name in India - from wireless to telecommunications, technology to infrastructure - Reliance can be found in virtually every industry in India. There are key companies shining in this year's list out of England including Vodafone, BP, HSBC, and Virgin Group. Overall, 2008 list of innovators is very well-represented globally.

#25 on the list is Facebook - a new innovator who has the sixth highest trafficked website on social networking - who can one day challenge Google and MySpace.com. Although Facebook still has a long way to go.

According to BusinessWeek, "2008 list of the World's Most Innovative Companies adds three financial measures to the mix to determine the rankings. For this year's list, votes cast in the proprietary BusinessWeek-BCG survey received 80% of the overall weighting, stock returns were weighted 10%, while three-year revenue and margin growth each got 5%. While these changes -- only votes from our survey counted in the past -- marked the biggest shift yet in our rankings of the World's Most Innovative Companies, there are some similarities to previous years."

2007 Report

BusinessWeek announced (external link) the top 50 innovative companies of the world, an annual ranking compiled along with Boston Consulting Group. Click here to view the Top 50 rankings. Listed below is the 2007 Top 50 Innovative companies in the world, along with their 2006 ranking comparison.

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) is #1 again, 3rd year in a row. Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) is #2 again. And climbing up one notch is Toyota at #3. General Electric (NYSE: GE) is #4, up 2 places; Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) held steady at #5, Proctor & Gamble (NYSE: PG) went up 1 spot to #6, 3M (NYSE: MMM) went down 4 notches to #7, Walt Disney Co (NYSE: DIS) zoomed up a whopping 35 places to #8, IBM (NYSE: IBM) went up 1 place to #9, and Sony climbed 3 places to #10.

There are many new innovators in the BusinessWeek top 50. AT&T (NYSE: T), Citigroup (NYSE: C), Verizon (NYSE: VZ), Nintendo (Japan), Volkswagen (Germany), Best Buy (NYSE: BBY), Merck (NYSE: MRK) and News Corporation (NYSE: NWS) are your new companies. Besides, Royal Philips Electronics (Netherlands), Costco Wholesale (NASDAQ: COST), Pfizer (NYSE: PFE), Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ), Amgen (NASDAQ: AMGN), McDonald's Corporation (NYSE: MCD), and LG Electronics (South Korea) have vaulted into the top 50 rankings (in 2006, these companies were ranked in the top 100, outside the top 50). This means, a few innovators dropped out of the top 50.



Last year (December 2006), I started The Innovation Index of the top 20 innovators based on 2006 BusinessWeek rankings of North American companies and my own research. I had only included the top 25 publicly traded North American companies in The Innovation Index based on the BusinessWeek rankings so as to evaluate their innovation activity and stock performance on a weekly basis. I am now planning to revise The Innovation Index for 2008 based on this new ranking from BusinessWeek, and am considering including the global publicly traded Innovators - the likes of Toyota, Sony, Nokia, BMW, Samsung, Philips, Infosys (although Infosys was not included in the Top 50 this year), top innovator from China, and more - besides the North American Innovators. This would create the first global Innovation Index for 2008.

How did BusinessWeek come up with the Top 50 Innovative Companies ranking?

According to the BusinessWeek article:
"The BusinessWeek-Boston Consulting Group 2007 list of the World’s Most Innovative Companies is based on a senior management survey about innovation and was distributed electronically to executives worldwide in late 2006. In October, surveys were sent to the 1,500 largest global corporations, determined by market capitalization in U.S. dollars, with instructions to send the survey to their top 10 executives in charge of innovation. The survey was also distributed to senior management members of the BusinessWeek Market Advisory Board, an online panel consisting of BusinessWeek readers, and via the Knowledge@Wharton e-mail newsletter. Survey participation was voluntary and anonymous, and the survey closed in March, 2007. The survey consisted of 20 general questions on innovation and an optional 12 questions focused on innovation metrics.

A total of 2,468 executives answered the survey. Of those indicating their location, 77% were from North America, 12% were from Europe, and 9% were from Asia or the Pacific region. A larger share of North American voters this year may explain some movement in the rankings of some companies on our list."

Compare this to 2006 BusinessWeek rankings, wherein only 1,070 executives answered the survey, although the mix was globally representative - 46% were from North America, 30% from Eurpoe, and 16% from Asia and Pacific.

In 2007, out of the top 50 innovative companies, only 14 were outside North America; in 2006, 20 companies were outside North America. Perhaps this has to do with the executives answering the survey, and their representative global mix.

Regardless, the top 50 innovators in the world are world-class companies creating new innovations through unmatched creativity and driving profitable growth.

Creativity And Innovation in Business Definitive Guide is a 212-page collection of my handpicked 56 Creativity and Innovation best practices, case studies, articles, interviews, and insights on the current state of innovation in business. The Innovation eBook provides real-world examples on how the Top 50 Innovators including Apple, Google, GE, Proctor and Gamble, Yahoo, Toyota, Netflix, BMW, Deloitte, Timex, Frito Lays, Johnson & Johnson, Starbucks, Southwest Airlines, Microsoft, Intel and more innovate and grow their business successfully time and again, especially during trying times. Use this eBook as a guide and relevant resource to find and create game-changing innovations, unblock creativity, and make innovation successful at your business...Learn more

The Innovation Index Reports:
Introducing The Innovation Index Fund - The Innovation Index Fund introduction announcement
Top 50 Innovative Companies in the world - 2007 & 2008 Report on Top 50 Companies and Innovators
The Innovation Index closes 2007 with 66% gain, crushes major U.S. indices
- 2007 Annual Report
Annual Report - Chapter One - Total Innovation Activity
- 2006 Annual Report One
Annual Report - Chapter Two - The Top Innovator - 2006 Annual Report Two
Annual Report - Chapter Three - The Innovation Insights - 2006 Annual Report Insights
Innovation and Stock Performance Correlation - The Innovation Index and Stock Performance

About The Innovation Index

The Innovation Index introduced in December 2006 is a weighted stock price index of the top 20 Innovators in North America.

The Innovation Index returned 66% in 2007, and would have returned 174% over the previous five years (2002-2006). This assumes equal investment in each stock of The Innovation Index as of December 31, 2001. An average of $100 invested in The Innovation Index on December 31, 2001 returned $454 as of December 31, 2007. By comparison, $100 invested in S & P 500 returned 28% or $129, $100 invested in NASDAQ returned 34% or $136, and $100 invested in the Dow Jones Index returned 30% or $131 through December 31, 2007. The Innovation Index beats the S & P 500, NASDAQ and Dow Jones Index by more than seven times over the past six years.

Alphabetical list of the Top 20 Innovators of The Innovation Index for 2008 and their stock ticker symbols:

3M Company - (NYSE: MMM)
Amazon.com, Inc. - (NASDAQ: AMZN)
America Movil - (NYSE: AMX)
Apple Inc. - (NASDAQ: AAPL)
AT&T Inc. - (NYSE: T)
Best Buy Co., Inc. - (NYSE: BBY)
Cisco Systems, Inc. - (NASDAQ: CSCO)
Costco Wholesale Corporation - (NASDAQ: COST)
eBay Inc. - (NASDAQ: EBAY)
General Electric Co. - (NYSE: GE)
Google Inc. - (NASDAQ: GOOG)
Hewlett-Packard Co. - (NYSE: HPQ)
Intel Corporation - (NYSE: INTC)
International Business Machines Corp. - (NYSE: IBM)
Merck & Co., Inc. - (NYSE: MRK)
McDonald's Corporation (NYSE: MCD)
Microsoft Corporation - (NASDAQ: MSFT)
NIKE, Inc. - (NYSE: NKE)
Research In Motion Limited - (NASDAQ: RIMM)
The Proctor & Gamble Company - (NYSE: PG)

The Innovation Index will analyze the positions and standings of the Top 20 Innovators at the end of each year. For 2008, there will be no further changes in The Innovation Index.

Disclaimer: The Innovation Index Group, Inc. invests in the stocks comprising The Innovation Index.

Additional Labels:
top 5 innovative companies
innovative companies
top innovative companies
top companies on innovation and creativity
innovation and creativity top 50
creativity and innovation in business
top 10 creative and innovative companies
top 10 innovator
top 100 innovative business
top 10 innovative companies
top 50 innovative companies

Originally published: May 11, 2007
Updated: April 22, 2008, May 21, 2009
*Past performance does not guarantee future returns

Tuesday, April 1, 2008

The Innovation Index slides 9% in Q1, 2008, manages to stay in front of S & P 500

The Innovation Index slides 9% in the first quarter of 2008 along with the broader market. The Innovation Index beats S & P 500 by 1%, beats NASDAQ by 5%, and lags Dow Jones by 1%. S & P 500 is down 10%, NASDAQ is down 14% and Dow Jones is down 8% in the first quarter of 2008.

Only 4 Innovators out of the Top 20 Innovators are in the green in 2008 and are showing modestly positive returns ranging from 1% to 7% gain. 16 out of the Top 20 Innovators are in the red in 2008, with wide-ranging negative returns with a maximum of 36% loss.

The Innovation Index had a banner 2007, and gained 66% in 2007.* The Innovation Index closed at 108.27 on December 31, 2007, up 66% from the closing price of 65.05 on December 29, 2006.*

Invest in The Innovation Index - Invest in the Innovation Index Fund

The Innovation Index closed at 98.51 on March 31, 2008, down 9% from the closing price of 108.27 on December 31, 2007, and up 51% from the closing price of 65.05 on December 29, 2006. S & P 500 is down 7%, NASDAQ is down 6% and Dow Jones is down 2% since December 29, 2006.


The Innovation Index - 2007

Q1 2008 Leaders

Only 4 Innovators show a positive gain in first quarter of 2008. The early leader of 2008 is IBM (NYSE: IBM) with a gain of 7%. Why is IBM ahead? Great quarterly earnings performance, and an upbeat future earnings guidance aka outlook. IBM is poised to have a solid 2008, and if the broader market improves, watch out! IBM could easily gain 20% to 30% in 2008. Nike Inc. (NYSE: NKE) also leads with 6% gain for the year. Nike also had an amazing quarter, beat the revenue and earnings on the high estimates, and gave an upbeat outlook as well. If Nike continues to deliver on the announced innovations, Nike will have another breakout year on the heels of 2007. Who else is in the positive in 2008? How about America Movil (NYSE: AMX) and General Electric (NYSE: GE)? America Movil is on a three-peat: After a solid 2007 with 36% gain, and an impressive 2006 with 56% gain, America Movil is up 4% in 2008. It's core business is wireless which shows no signs of letdown in 2008. 2008 could be the year of GE. GE was even in 2007 (paid good dividend though). Investors are betting that GE can grow globally and show consistent growth in 2008. GE is a safer bet. GE is up 1% in 2008.

Q1 2008 Laggards

There is a sea of red. Everywhere you see, you see Innovators with negative performance in 2008. As a matter of fact, there are 16 of the 20 Innovators who are down in the first quarter of 2008. Who leads the pack in losses? Surprisingly, it is Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG). Google is down 36% in 2008, after gaining 50% in 2007. So it is kind of bittersweet. Can Google rebound in 2008 with the earnings gains from recently completed Double Click acquisition? Google also announced new innovations with Team Apps. Google has plenty of distractions though - the biggest one being Microsoft's pending acquisition of Yahoo. Google must stay focused on increasing Search marketshare and increasing the higher performing clicks. A percent improvement in the effectiveness of clicks generates a factor of ten improvement in topline revenue. One of the newest Innovator for 2008 is down 34% after gaining 35% in 2007. Merck Inc. (NYSE: MRK) is down 34% in Q1, 2008. There are plenty of news around Merck's Vytorin and Zetia. "The drugmakers sold $5.2 billion of Vytorin and Zetia last year. The study showing the drugs work no better than a generic medicine at one-fifth the price may cost the two companies $1.3 billion in sales this year and $1 billion next year, said Jim Kelly, an analyst with Goldman Sachs & Co., in a research report today." - Bloomberg Merck has some rebounding to do from such a deep drop in 2008.
Why are shares of Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) down 28% after gaining 133% in 2007? Apple was one of the star performers in 2007 Innovation Index. Apple kicked off 2008 with bold new innovations, introduced the new iPhone and new iPod touch, and created new technology with Nike for the gym. It has do with future earnings guidance, or rather a weak one by Apple. If Apple delivers on the earnings and shows growth in Mac, iPod and iPhone business, Apple will do just fine. Can Apple hit $250 in 2008? We will need to fast forward to December 2008.

There are 4 Innovators who have lost 20% or more in 2008. These include Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) down 23% after gaining a whopping 135% in 2007; Best Buy Inc. (NYSE: BBY) down 21% after gaining 6% in 2007; Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) down 20% after gaining 32% in 2007; and Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) down 20% after gaining 20% in 2007. Can these Innovators rebound in 2008?

Which Innovators are safe bets for investors in 2008? 3M and PG are smart long-term buys in turbulent markets. We have three more quarters in 2008. And as we witnessed in 2007, one quarter can make a huge difference.

2007 Leaders

Research In Motion Limited - (NASDAQ: RIMM) was the 2007 leader in stock performance, with 166% gain for the year. Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) was equally impressive with 135% gain for the year. Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) had a great year with 133% appreciation for the year. There were eight other innovators with double-digit gains for the year. Among these innovators, Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) led with 50% gain. America Movil (NYSE: AMX) was next up with 36% gain in 2007, and Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC) closed out 2007 with 32% gain. Overall, 13 innovators finished 2007 with positive gains.

2007 Laggards

Six innovators finished the year in the negative, led by Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ: SBUX) declining 42% for the year. Southwest Airlines Co. (NYSE: LUV) was next, declining 20% for the year. Target Corp. (NYSE: TGT) rounded out the top three, declining 12% for the year. Yahoo Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) was down 9% in 2007.

2008 Top 20 Innovators

The Top 20 Innovators for 2008 were announced on December 31, 2007. Here is the alphabetical list of the Top 20 Innovators for 2008:

3M Company - (NYSE: MMM)
Amazon.com, Inc. - (NASDAQ: AMZN)
America Movil - (NYSE: AMX)
Apple Inc. - (NASDAQ: AAPL)
AT&T Inc. - (NYSE: T)
Best Buy Co., Inc. - (NYSE: BBY)
Cisco Systems, Inc. - (NASDAQ: CSCO)
Costco Wholesale Corporation - (NASDAQ: COST)
eBay Inc. - (NASDAQ: EBAY)
General Electric Co. - (NYSE: GE)
Google Inc. - (NASDAQ: GOOG)
Hewlett-Packard Co. - (NYSE: HPQ)
Intel Corporation - (NASDAQ: INTC)
International Business Machines Corp. - (NYSE: IBM)
Merck & Co., Inc. - (NYSE: MRK)
McDonald's Corporation (NYSE: MCD)
Microsoft Corporation - (NASDAQ: MSFT)
NIKE, Inc. - (NYSE: NKE)
Research In Motion Limited - (NASDAQ: RIMM)
The Proctor & Gamble Company - (NYSE: PG)

2008 Predictions (originally published January 17, 2008)

How will The Innovation Index perform in 2008? So far, the Innovators have been off to a rough start in 2008. The sub-prime mortgage crisis, rising oil prices, and early indications of slowing economy have contributed to negativity on the Wall Street. We believe this sentiment is short-lived, and will only last through the second quarter of 2008. The potential availability of an economic stimulus package will certainly help. The resilient Innovators of The Innovation Index will reward the patient, long-term investor. The key is to stay with these Innovators through the downturn, and wait until later in the year to realize the positive gains.* Innovation Index Group, Inc. announced the following BUY recommendations for the Top 20 Innovators of The Innovation Index.

Invest in the Innovation Index Fund

We launched the new Innovation Index Fund in December, 2007 that invests in the Innovation Index. Innovation Index would have returned 66% in 2007 based on our performance model, and 174% in the previous five years based on historical model. If you want to learn more about the Innovation Index Fund, fill out your contact information at the bottom of this form: http://www.innovationindexgroup.com/invest.html

The Innovation Index Reports:

Invest in The Innovation Index - Invest in the brand new Innovation Index Fund
Introducing The Innovation Index Fund - Invest into The Innovation Index
Top 50 Innovative Companies in the world - 2007 Report on Top 50 Companies
Annual Report - Chapter One - Total Innovation Activity - 2006 Annual Report One
Annual Report - Chapter Two - The Top Innovator - 2006 Annual Report Two
Annual Report - Chapter Three - The Innovation Insights - 2006 Annual Report Insights
Innovation and Stock Performance Correlation - The Innovation Index and Stock Performance
The Innovation Index gallops to 56% - Quarterly Report - Q3, 2007

About The Innovation Index

The Innovation Index introduced in December 2006 is a weighted stock price index of the top 20 Innovators in North America.

The Innovation Index returned 66% in 2007 according to performance model, and would have returned 174% over the previous five years (2002-2006) according to historical model. This assumes equal investment in each stock of The Innovation Index as of December 31, 2001. An average of $100 invested in The Innovation Index on December 31, 2001 returned $454 as of December 31, 2007. By comparison, $100 invested in S & P 500 returned 28% or $129, $100 invested in NASDAQ returned 34% or $136, and $100 invested in the Dow Jones Index returned 30% or $131 through December 31, 2007. The Innovation Index beats the S & P 500, NASDAQ and Dow Jones Index by more than seven times over the past six years.

Alphabetical list of the Top 20 Innovators of The Innovation Index for 2008 and their stock ticker symbols:

3M Company - (NYSE: MMM)
Amazon.com, Inc. - (NASDAQ: AMZN)
America Movil - (NYSE: AMX)
Apple Inc. - (NASDAQ: AAPL)
AT&T Inc. - (NYSE: T)
Best Buy Co., Inc. - (NYSE: BBY)
Cisco Systems, Inc. - (NASDAQ: CSCO)
Costco Wholesale Corporation - (NASDAQ: COST)
eBay Inc. - (NASDAQ: EBAY)
General Electric Co. - (NYSE: GE)
Google Inc. - (NASDAQ: GOOG)
Hewlett-Packard Co. - (NYSE: HPQ)
Intel Corporation - (NASDAQ: INTC)
International Business Machines Corp. - (NYSE: IBM)
Merck & Co., Inc. - (NYSE: MRK)
McDonald's Corporation (NYSE: MCD)
Microsoft Corporation - (NASDAQ: MSFT)
NIKE, Inc. - (NYSE: NKE)
Research In Motion Limited - (NASDAQ: RIMM)
The Proctor & Gamble Company - (NYSE: PG)

The Innovation Index will analyze the positions and standings of the Top 20 Innovators at the end of each year. For 2008, there will be no further changes in The Innovation Index.

Disclaimer: The Innovation Index Group, Inc. invests in the stocks comprising The Innovation Index.

* Past Performance Does Not Guarantee Future Results