Showing posts with label intc. Show all posts
Showing posts with label intc. Show all posts

Sunday, January 11, 2009

The Innovation Index 2008 Performance

The Innovation Index 2008 Performance
Top 20 InnovatorsTicker31-Dec-0731-Dec-08% Change
3M Company MMM84.3257.54-31.76%
Amazon.com
AMZN92.6451.28-44.65%
America Movil AMX61.3930.99-49.52%
AppleAAPL198.0885.35-56.91%
AT&TT41.1628.50-30.76%
Best BuyBBY52.5128.11-46.47%
Cisco SystemsCSCO27.0716.30-39.79%
Costco Wholesale
COST69.6052.50-24.57%
eBayEBAY33.1913.96-57.94%
General ElectricGE36.7416.20-55.91%
GoogleGOOG691.48307.65-55.51%
Hewlett-Packard
HPQ50.4836.29-28.11%
Intel
INTC26.5014.66-44.68%
IBM
IBM107.6984.16-21.85%
Merck
MRK57.6130.40-47.23%
McDonald's
MCD58.5162.196.29%
Microsoft
MSFT35.4619.44-45.18%
NIKE
NKE64.0051.00-20.31%
Research In MotionRIMM113.4040.58-64.22%
Proctor & GamblePG73.0561.82-15.37%
The Innovation Index108.2766.35-38.72%
S&P 500^GSPC1,468.36903.25-38.49%
Dow Jones^DJI13,264.828,776.39-33.84%
NASDAQ^IXIC2,652.281,577.03-40.54%
McDonald's Corporation is the only innovator out of the top 20 innovators that had a positive stock performance in an otherwise tough 2008. McDonald's has achieved an amazing feat that will be cherished for a long time.

8 out of the Top 20 Innovators finished averaging better performance than the S&P 500.

Assumptions and Disclosures:
*Assumes equal investment in each Innovator of the Innovation Index
*Innovation Index Fund is closed and ended much lower than the Innovation Index
*2009 Innovation Index will be announced the week of Jan 12, 2009
*Innovation Index Group will relaunch in 2009, without management of any fund, as an investment research and analysis company.
Selected references:
Leading eBook on Creativity and Innovation in Business
Creativity and Innovation Best Practices
Creativity and Innovation Case Studies
The Innovation Index
Top 50 innovative companies in the world

Tuesday, April 1, 2008

The Innovation Index slides 9% in Q1, 2008, manages to stay in front of S & P 500

The Innovation Index slides 9% in the first quarter of 2008 along with the broader market. The Innovation Index beats S & P 500 by 1%, beats NASDAQ by 5%, and lags Dow Jones by 1%. S & P 500 is down 10%, NASDAQ is down 14% and Dow Jones is down 8% in the first quarter of 2008.

Only 4 Innovators out of the Top 20 Innovators are in the green in 2008 and are showing modestly positive returns ranging from 1% to 7% gain. 16 out of the Top 20 Innovators are in the red in 2008, with wide-ranging negative returns with a maximum of 36% loss.

The Innovation Index had a banner 2007, and gained 66% in 2007.* The Innovation Index closed at 108.27 on December 31, 2007, up 66% from the closing price of 65.05 on December 29, 2006.*

Invest in The Innovation Index - Invest in the Innovation Index Fund

The Innovation Index closed at 98.51 on March 31, 2008, down 9% from the closing price of 108.27 on December 31, 2007, and up 51% from the closing price of 65.05 on December 29, 2006. S & P 500 is down 7%, NASDAQ is down 6% and Dow Jones is down 2% since December 29, 2006.


The Innovation Index - 2007

Q1 2008 Leaders

Only 4 Innovators show a positive gain in first quarter of 2008. The early leader of 2008 is IBM (NYSE: IBM) with a gain of 7%. Why is IBM ahead? Great quarterly earnings performance, and an upbeat future earnings guidance aka outlook. IBM is poised to have a solid 2008, and if the broader market improves, watch out! IBM could easily gain 20% to 30% in 2008. Nike Inc. (NYSE: NKE) also leads with 6% gain for the year. Nike also had an amazing quarter, beat the revenue and earnings on the high estimates, and gave an upbeat outlook as well. If Nike continues to deliver on the announced innovations, Nike will have another breakout year on the heels of 2007. Who else is in the positive in 2008? How about America Movil (NYSE: AMX) and General Electric (NYSE: GE)? America Movil is on a three-peat: After a solid 2007 with 36% gain, and an impressive 2006 with 56% gain, America Movil is up 4% in 2008. It's core business is wireless which shows no signs of letdown in 2008. 2008 could be the year of GE. GE was even in 2007 (paid good dividend though). Investors are betting that GE can grow globally and show consistent growth in 2008. GE is a safer bet. GE is up 1% in 2008.

Q1 2008 Laggards

There is a sea of red. Everywhere you see, you see Innovators with negative performance in 2008. As a matter of fact, there are 16 of the 20 Innovators who are down in the first quarter of 2008. Who leads the pack in losses? Surprisingly, it is Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG). Google is down 36% in 2008, after gaining 50% in 2007. So it is kind of bittersweet. Can Google rebound in 2008 with the earnings gains from recently completed Double Click acquisition? Google also announced new innovations with Team Apps. Google has plenty of distractions though - the biggest one being Microsoft's pending acquisition of Yahoo. Google must stay focused on increasing Search marketshare and increasing the higher performing clicks. A percent improvement in the effectiveness of clicks generates a factor of ten improvement in topline revenue. One of the newest Innovator for 2008 is down 34% after gaining 35% in 2007. Merck Inc. (NYSE: MRK) is down 34% in Q1, 2008. There are plenty of news around Merck's Vytorin and Zetia. "The drugmakers sold $5.2 billion of Vytorin and Zetia last year. The study showing the drugs work no better than a generic medicine at one-fifth the price may cost the two companies $1.3 billion in sales this year and $1 billion next year, said Jim Kelly, an analyst with Goldman Sachs & Co., in a research report today." - Bloomberg Merck has some rebounding to do from such a deep drop in 2008.
Why are shares of Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) down 28% after gaining 133% in 2007? Apple was one of the star performers in 2007 Innovation Index. Apple kicked off 2008 with bold new innovations, introduced the new iPhone and new iPod touch, and created new technology with Nike for the gym. It has do with future earnings guidance, or rather a weak one by Apple. If Apple delivers on the earnings and shows growth in Mac, iPod and iPhone business, Apple will do just fine. Can Apple hit $250 in 2008? We will need to fast forward to December 2008.

There are 4 Innovators who have lost 20% or more in 2008. These include Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) down 23% after gaining a whopping 135% in 2007; Best Buy Inc. (NYSE: BBY) down 21% after gaining 6% in 2007; Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) down 20% after gaining 32% in 2007; and Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) down 20% after gaining 20% in 2007. Can these Innovators rebound in 2008?

Which Innovators are safe bets for investors in 2008? 3M and PG are smart long-term buys in turbulent markets. We have three more quarters in 2008. And as we witnessed in 2007, one quarter can make a huge difference.

2007 Leaders

Research In Motion Limited - (NASDAQ: RIMM) was the 2007 leader in stock performance, with 166% gain for the year. Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) was equally impressive with 135% gain for the year. Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) had a great year with 133% appreciation for the year. There were eight other innovators with double-digit gains for the year. Among these innovators, Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) led with 50% gain. America Movil (NYSE: AMX) was next up with 36% gain in 2007, and Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC) closed out 2007 with 32% gain. Overall, 13 innovators finished 2007 with positive gains.

2007 Laggards

Six innovators finished the year in the negative, led by Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ: SBUX) declining 42% for the year. Southwest Airlines Co. (NYSE: LUV) was next, declining 20% for the year. Target Corp. (NYSE: TGT) rounded out the top three, declining 12% for the year. Yahoo Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) was down 9% in 2007.

2008 Top 20 Innovators

The Top 20 Innovators for 2008 were announced on December 31, 2007. Here is the alphabetical list of the Top 20 Innovators for 2008:

3M Company - (NYSE: MMM)
Amazon.com, Inc. - (NASDAQ: AMZN)
America Movil - (NYSE: AMX)
Apple Inc. - (NASDAQ: AAPL)
AT&T Inc. - (NYSE: T)
Best Buy Co., Inc. - (NYSE: BBY)
Cisco Systems, Inc. - (NASDAQ: CSCO)
Costco Wholesale Corporation - (NASDAQ: COST)
eBay Inc. - (NASDAQ: EBAY)
General Electric Co. - (NYSE: GE)
Google Inc. - (NASDAQ: GOOG)
Hewlett-Packard Co. - (NYSE: HPQ)
Intel Corporation - (NASDAQ: INTC)
International Business Machines Corp. - (NYSE: IBM)
Merck & Co., Inc. - (NYSE: MRK)
McDonald's Corporation (NYSE: MCD)
Microsoft Corporation - (NASDAQ: MSFT)
NIKE, Inc. - (NYSE: NKE)
Research In Motion Limited - (NASDAQ: RIMM)
The Proctor & Gamble Company - (NYSE: PG)

2008 Predictions (originally published January 17, 2008)

How will The Innovation Index perform in 2008? So far, the Innovators have been off to a rough start in 2008. The sub-prime mortgage crisis, rising oil prices, and early indications of slowing economy have contributed to negativity on the Wall Street. We believe this sentiment is short-lived, and will only last through the second quarter of 2008. The potential availability of an economic stimulus package will certainly help. The resilient Innovators of The Innovation Index will reward the patient, long-term investor. The key is to stay with these Innovators through the downturn, and wait until later in the year to realize the positive gains.* Innovation Index Group, Inc. announced the following BUY recommendations for the Top 20 Innovators of The Innovation Index.

Invest in the Innovation Index Fund

We launched the new Innovation Index Fund in December, 2007 that invests in the Innovation Index. Innovation Index would have returned 66% in 2007 based on our performance model, and 174% in the previous five years based on historical model. If you want to learn more about the Innovation Index Fund, fill out your contact information at the bottom of this form: http://www.innovationindexgroup.com/invest.html

The Innovation Index Reports:

Invest in The Innovation Index - Invest in the brand new Innovation Index Fund
Introducing The Innovation Index Fund - Invest into The Innovation Index
Top 50 Innovative Companies in the world - 2007 Report on Top 50 Companies
Annual Report - Chapter One - Total Innovation Activity - 2006 Annual Report One
Annual Report - Chapter Two - The Top Innovator - 2006 Annual Report Two
Annual Report - Chapter Three - The Innovation Insights - 2006 Annual Report Insights
Innovation and Stock Performance Correlation - The Innovation Index and Stock Performance
The Innovation Index gallops to 56% - Quarterly Report - Q3, 2007

About The Innovation Index

The Innovation Index introduced in December 2006 is a weighted stock price index of the top 20 Innovators in North America.

The Innovation Index returned 66% in 2007 according to performance model, and would have returned 174% over the previous five years (2002-2006) according to historical model. This assumes equal investment in each stock of The Innovation Index as of December 31, 2001. An average of $100 invested in The Innovation Index on December 31, 2001 returned $454 as of December 31, 2007. By comparison, $100 invested in S & P 500 returned 28% or $129, $100 invested in NASDAQ returned 34% or $136, and $100 invested in the Dow Jones Index returned 30% or $131 through December 31, 2007. The Innovation Index beats the S & P 500, NASDAQ and Dow Jones Index by more than seven times over the past six years.

Alphabetical list of the Top 20 Innovators of The Innovation Index for 2008 and their stock ticker symbols:

3M Company - (NYSE: MMM)
Amazon.com, Inc. - (NASDAQ: AMZN)
America Movil - (NYSE: AMX)
Apple Inc. - (NASDAQ: AAPL)
AT&T Inc. - (NYSE: T)
Best Buy Co., Inc. - (NYSE: BBY)
Cisco Systems, Inc. - (NASDAQ: CSCO)
Costco Wholesale Corporation - (NASDAQ: COST)
eBay Inc. - (NASDAQ: EBAY)
General Electric Co. - (NYSE: GE)
Google Inc. - (NASDAQ: GOOG)
Hewlett-Packard Co. - (NYSE: HPQ)
Intel Corporation - (NASDAQ: INTC)
International Business Machines Corp. - (NYSE: IBM)
Merck & Co., Inc. - (NYSE: MRK)
McDonald's Corporation (NYSE: MCD)
Microsoft Corporation - (NASDAQ: MSFT)
NIKE, Inc. - (NYSE: NKE)
Research In Motion Limited - (NASDAQ: RIMM)
The Proctor & Gamble Company - (NYSE: PG)

The Innovation Index will analyze the positions and standings of the Top 20 Innovators at the end of each year. For 2008, there will be no further changes in The Innovation Index.

Disclaimer: The Innovation Index Group, Inc. invests in the stocks comprising The Innovation Index.

* Past Performance Does Not Guarantee Future Results

Sunday, January 27, 2008

Future Earnings Guidance, A Leading Indicator of Stock Performance

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL), Cisco Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ: CSCO), eBay Inc. (NASDAQ: EBAY), IBM (NYSE: IBM), Intel Corporation (NYSE: INTC) and Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) are six of the Top 20 Innovators of The Innovation Index.

The Innovation Index closed 2007 with 66% gain, crushing the major U.S. indices.

Even though Apple Inc. kicked Off 2008 with bold new innovations, and Apple delivered outstanding results for the latest quarter beating the analyst expectations, Apple shares are down 36% from their 52 week peak of $202.96. Apple had the best quarter in its history. Further, eBay, Cisco and Intel shares are also down 34%, 29% and 29% respectively from their 52 week highs. eBay, Cisco and Intel all had great quarters as well, and beat the analyst expectations.



Why?

On the other hand, IBM and Microsoft had great quarters as well, and also beat analyst expectations. However, IBM and Microsoft shares are trending up, and are only down 14% and 12% from their 52 week highs respectively. NASDAQ composite is also down, but only 19% from the 52 week high.

Thus, IBM and Microsoft stocks are doing better relative to the NASDAQ and also four innovators.

Future Earnings Guidance

IBM and Microsoft came out with positive, uplifting future earnings guidance for 2008. Their earnings guidance either met or beat the street's expectations. Hence, their stocks are trending up! On the other hand, the street perceived Apple's, Cisco's, eBay's, and Intel's 2008 guidance as weak, and below their expectations. Are Apple, Cisco, eBay and Intel sandbagging, or simply playing the conservative earnings guidance game - under-promise and over-deliver? Or are they taking into account the current economic climate, and simply don't want to over-promise?

It's evident though that even these Top Innovators are not immune to interim stock price fluctuations owing to their earnings guidance. The reality is that these companies will outperform, and show a solid earnings growth. At which point, their stocks will go up. For now, because of their relatively weak outlook, their stocks are battered down. Perhaps they provide an excellent buying opportunity to the prudent, value investor.

The Innovation Index Reports:

Top 50 Innovative Companies in the world - 2007 Report on Top 50 Companies
Annual Report - Chapter One - Total Innovation Activity - 2006 Annual Report One
Annual Report - Chapter Two - The Top Innovator - 2006 Annual Report Two
Annual Report - Chapter Three - The Innovation Insights - 2006 Annual Report Insights
Innovation and Stock Performance Correlation - The Innovation Index and Stock Performance

About The Innovation Index

The Innovation Index introduced in December 2006 is a weighted stock price index of the top 20 Innovators in North America.

The Innovation Index returned 66% in 2007, and returned 174% over the previous five years (2002-2006). This assumes equal investment in each stock of The Innovation Index as of December 31, 2001. An average of $100 invested in The Innovation Index on December 31, 2001 returned $454 as of December 31, 2007. By comparison, $100 invested in S & P 500 returned 28% or $129, $100 invested in NASDAQ returned 34% or $136, and $100 invested in the Dow Jones Index returned 30% or $131 through December 31, 2007. The Innovation Index beats the S & P 500, NASDAQ and Dow Jones Index by more than seven times over the past six years.

Alphabetical list of the Top 20 Innovators of The Innovation Index for 2008 and their stock ticker symbols:

3M Company - (NYSE: MMM)
Amazon.com, Inc. - (NASDAQ: AMZN)
America Movil - (NYSE: AMX)
Apple Inc. - (NASDAQ: AAPL)
AT&T Inc. - (NYSE: T)
Best Buy Co., Inc. - (NYSE: BBY)
Cisco Systems, Inc. - (NASDAQ: CSCO)
Costco Wholesale Corporation - (NASDAQ: COST)
eBay Inc. - (NASDAQ: EBAY)
General Electric Co. - (NYSE: GE)
Google Inc. - (NASDAQ: GOOG)
Hewlett-Packard Co. - (NYSE: HPQ)
Intel Corporation - (NYSE: INTC)
International Business Machines Corp. - (NYSE: IBM)
Merck & Co., Inc. - (NYSE: MRK)
McDonald's Corporation (NYSE: MCD)
Microsoft Corporation - (NASDAQ: MSFT)
NIKE, Inc. - (NYSE: NKE)
Research In Motion Limited - (NASDAQ: RIMM)
The Proctor & Gamble Company - (NYSE: PG)

The Innovation Index will analyze the positions and standings of the Top 20 Innovators at the end of each year. For 2008, there will be no further changes in The Innovation Index.

Disclaimer: The Innovation Index Group, Inc. invested in the stocks comprising The Innovation Index.

Thursday, January 17, 2008

The Innovation Index closes 2007 with 66% gain, beats major U.S. indices

The Innovation Index had a banner year, and gained 66% in 2007. The Innovation Index beats the major U.S. indices including the S & P 500, NASDAQ and Dow Jones. S & P 500 was up 4% for the year, NASDAQ was up 10% for the year and the Dow Jones Index was up 6% for the year.

The Innovation Index closed at 108.27 on December 31, 2007, up 66% from the closing price of 65.05 on December 29, 2006.


(click to maximize)

2007 Leaders

Research In Motion Limited - (NASDAQ: RIMM) was the 2007 leader in stock performance, with 166% gain for the year. Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) was equally impressive with 135% gain for the year. Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) had a great year with 133% appreciation for the year. There were eight other innovators with double-digit gains for the year. Among these innovators, Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) led with 50% gain. America Movil (NYSE: AMX) was next up with 36% gain in 2007, and Intel Corporation (NYSE: INTC) closed out 2007 with 32% gain. Overall, 13 innovators finished 2007 with positive gains.

2007 Laggards

Six innovators finished the year in the negative, led by Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ: SBUX) declining 42% for the year. Southwest Airlines Co. (NYSE: LUV) was next, declining 20% for the year. Target Corp. (NYSE: TGT) rounded out the top three, declining 12% for the year. Yahoo Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) was down 9% in 2007.

2008 Top 20 Innovators

The Top 20 Innovators for 2008 were announced on December 31, 2007. Here is the alphabetical list of the Top 20 Innovators for 2008:

3M Company - (NYSE: MMM)
Amazon.com, Inc. - (NASDAQ: AMZN)
America Movil - (NYSE: AMX)
Apple Inc. - (NASDAQ: AAPL)
AT&T Inc. - (NYSE: T)
Best Buy Co., Inc. - (NYSE: BBY)
Cisco Systems, Inc. - (NASDAQ: CSCO)
Costco Wholesale Corporation - (NASDAQ: COST)
eBay Inc. - (NASDAQ: EBAY)
General Electric Co. - (NYSE: GE)
Google Inc. - (NASDAQ: GOOG)
Hewlett-Packard Co. - (NYSE: HPQ)
Intel Corporation - (NYSE: INTC)
International Business Machines Corp. - (NYSE: IBM)
Merck & Co., Inc. - (NYSE: MRK)
McDonald's Corporation (NYSE: MCD)
Microsoft Corporation - (NASDAQ: MSFT)
NIKE, Inc. - (NYSE: NKE)
Research In Motion Limited - (NASDAQ: RIMM)
The Proctor & Gamble Company - (NYSE: PG)

2008 Predictions

How will The Innovation Index perform in 2008? So far, the Innovators have been off to a rough start in 2008. The sub-prime mortgage crisis, rising oil prices, and early indications of slowing economy have contributed to negativity on the Wall Street. We believe this sentiment is short-lived, and will only last through the second quarter of 2008. The potential availability of an economic stimulus package will certainly help. The resilient Innovators of The Innovation Index may reward the patient, long-term investor. The key may be to stay with these Innovators through the downturn.

Invest in the Innovation Index Fund

We launched the new Innovation Index Fund in December, 2007 that invests in the Innovation Index. Innovation Index would have returned 66% in 2007 according to our performance model, and would have returned 174% in the previous five years according to our historical model.* If you want to learn more about the Innovation Index Fund, fill out your contact information at the bottom of this form: http://www.innovationindexgroup.com/invest.html

The Innovation Index Reports:

Invest in The Innovation Index - Invest in the brand new Innovation Index Fund
Introducing The Innovation Index Fund - Invest into The Innovation Index
Top 50 Innovative Companies in the world - 2007 Report on Top 50 Companies
Annual Report - Chapter One - Total Innovation Activity - 2006 Annual Report One
Annual Report - Chapter Two - The Top Innovator - 2006 Annual Report Two
Annual Report - Chapter Three - The Innovation Insights - 2006 Annual Report Insights
Innovation and Stock Performance Correlation - The Innovation Index and Stock Performance
The Innovation Index gallops to 56% - Quarterly Report - Q3, 2007

About The Innovation Index

The Innovation Index introduced in December 2006 is a weighted stock price index of the top 20 Innovators in North America.

The Innovation Index returned 66% in 2007, and would have returned 174% over the previous five years (2002-2006) based on historical model.* This assumes equal investment in each stock of The Innovation Index as of December 31, 2001. An average of $100 invested in The Innovation Index on December 31, 2001 returned $454 as of December 31, 2007. By comparison, $100 invested in S & P 500 returned 28% or $129, $100 invested in NASDAQ returned 34% or $136, and $100 invested in the Dow Jones Index returned 30% or $131 through December 31, 2007. The Innovation Index beats the S & P 500, NASDAQ and Dow Jones Index by more than seven times over the past six years.

Alphabetical list of the Top 20 Innovators of The Innovation Index for 2008 and their stock ticker symbols:

3M Company - (NYSE: MMM)
Amazon.com, Inc. - (NASDAQ: AMZN)
America Movil - (NYSE: AMX)
Apple Inc. - (NASDAQ: AAPL)
AT&T Inc. - (NYSE: T)
Best Buy Co., Inc. - (NYSE: BBY)
Cisco Systems, Inc. - (NASDAQ: CSCO)
Costco Wholesale Corporation - (NASDAQ: COST)
eBay Inc. - (NASDAQ: EBAY)
General Electric Co. - (NYSE: GE)
Google Inc. - (NASDAQ: GOOG)
Hewlett-Packard Co. - (NYSE: HPQ)
Intel Corporation - (NYSE: INTC)
International Business Machines Corp. - (NYSE: IBM)
Merck & Co., Inc. - (NYSE: MRK)
McDonald's Corporation (NYSE: MCD)
Microsoft Corporation - (NASDAQ: MSFT)
NIKE, Inc. - (NYSE: NKE)
Research In Motion Limited - (NASDAQ: RIMM)
The Proctor & Gamble Company - (NYSE: PG)

The Innovation Index will analyze the positions and standings of the Top 20 Innovators at the end of each year. For 2008, there will be no further changes in The Innovation Index.

Disclaimer: The Innovation Index Group, Inc. invests in the stocks comprising The Innovation Index.

*Past Performance Does Not Guarantee Future Results. Please refer to Innovation Index Fund Prospectus for details on our offering.

Monday, December 31, 2007

The Innovation Index Top 20 Innovators for 2008

Invest in The Innovation Index - Invest in the brand new Innovation Index Fund

Top 20 Innovators of The Innovation Index for 2008

Six new Innovators have been added to The Innovation Index for 2008:

AT&T Inc. - (NYSE: T) (52 week change: UP 18.71%)
Best Buy Co., Inc. - (NYSE: BBY) (52 week change: UP 6.30%)
Costco Wholesale Corporation - (NASDAQ: COST) (52 week change: UP 32.82%)
Merck & Co., Inc. - (NYSE: MRK) (52 week change: UP 34.66%)
McDonald's Corporation (NYSE: MCD) (52 week change: UP 34.22%)
NIKE, Inc. - (NYSE: NKE) (52 week change: UP 29.88%)

Fourteen existing Innovators have been retained to The Innovation Index for 2008:

3M Company - (NYSE: MMM) (52 week change: UP 9.19%)
Amazon.com, Inc. - (NASDAQ: AMZN) (52 week change: UP 139.36%)
America Movil - (NYSE: AMX) (52 week change: UP 34.30%)
Apple Inc. - (NASDAQ: AAPL) (52 week change: UP 135.54%)
Cisco Systems, Inc. - (NASDAQ: CSCO) (52 week change: UP 0.84%)
eBay Inc. - (NASDAQ: EBAY) (52 week change: UP 12.34%)
General Electric Co. - (NYSE: GE) (52 week change: UP 0.35%)
Google Inc. - (NASDAQ: GOOG) (52 week change: UP 52.56%)
Hewlett-Packard Co. - (NYSE: HPQ) (52 week change: UP 24.69%)
Intel Corporation - (NYSE: INTC) (52 week change: UP 32.15%)
International Business Machines Corp. - (NYSE: IBM) (52 week change: UP 13.32%)
Microsoft Corporation - (NASDAQ: MSFT) (52 week change: UP 20.96%)
Research In Motion Limited - (NASDAQ: RIMM) (52 week change: UP 174.55%)
The Proctor & Gamble Company - (NYSE: PG) (52 week change: UP 15.53%)

Six old Innovators were dropped from 2007 and will not make the 2008 list:

Dell Inc. - (NASDAQ: DELL) (52 week change: DOWN 0.56%)
Southwest Airlines Co. - (NYSE: LUV) (52 week change: DOWN 20.17%)
Starbucks Corporation - (NASDAQ: SBUX) (52 week change: DOWN 43.17%)
Target Corp. - (NYSE: TGT) (52 week change: DOWN 11.06%)
Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. - (NYSE: WMT) (52 week change: UP 4.11%)
Yahoo! Inc. - (NASDAQ: YHOO) (52 week change: DOWN 8.18%)

The Innovation Index Top 20 Innovators for 2008 are the following:

3M Company - (NYSE: MMM)
Amazon.com, Inc. - (NASDAQ: AMZN)
America Movil - (NYSE: AMX)
Apple Inc. - (NASDAQ: AAPL)
AT&T Inc. - (NYSE: T)
Best Buy Co., Inc. - (NYSE: BBY)
Cisco Systems, Inc. - (NASDAQ: CSCO)
Costco Wholesale Corporation - (NASDAQ: COST)
eBay Inc. - (NASDAQ: EBAY)
General Electric Co. - (NYSE: GE)
Google Inc. - (NASDAQ: GOOG)
Hewlett-Packard Co. - (NYSE: HPQ)
Intel Corporation - (NYSE: INTC)
International Business Machines Corp. - (NYSE: IBM)
Merck & Co., Inc. - (NYSE: MRK)
McDonald's Corporation (NYSE: MCD)
Microsoft Corporation - (NASDAQ: MSFT)
NIKE, Inc. - (NYSE: NKE)
Research In Motion Limited - (NASDAQ: RIMM)
The Proctor & Gamble Company - (NYSE: PG)

Further commentary on the addition of six new Innovators, the top Innovator of 2007, and the changes will be provided in the second week of January, 2008. As of December 17, 2007, The Innovation Index has returned 56%. The Innovation Index closed at 101.28 on December 17, 2007, effectively even from the closing price of 101.39 on Sep 28, 2007, and up 56% from the closing price of 65.05 on December 29, 2006.

Invest in the Innovation Index Fund

We launched the new Innovation Index Fund in December, 2007 that invests in the Innovation Index and returned 66% in 2007, and 174% in the previous five years. If you want to learn more about the Innovation Index Fund, fill out your contact information at the bottom of this form: http://www.innovationindexgroup.com/invest.html

The Innovation Index Reports:

Invest in The Innovation Index - Invest in the brand new Innovation Index Fund
Introducing The Innovation Index Fund - Invest into The Innovation Index
Top 50 Innovative Companies in the world - 2007 Report on Top 50 Companies
Annual Report - Chapter One - Total Innovation Activity - 2006 Annual Report One
Annual Report - Chapter Two - The Top Innovator - 2006 Annual Report Two
Annual Report - Chapter Three - The Innovation Insights - 2006 Annual Report Insights
Innovation and Stock Performance Correlation - The Innovation Index and Stock Performance
The Innovation Index gallops to 56% - Quarterly Report - Q3, 2007

About The Innovation Index

The Innovation Index introduced in December 2006 is a weighted stock price index of the top 20 Innovators in North America.

The Innovation Index has returned 119% over the last five years. This assumes an investment in each stock of The Innovation Index (buying each stock). An average of $100 invested in The Innovation Index on December 31, 2001 returned $219 as of December 29, 2006. By comparison, $100 invested in each of S & P 500, NASDAQ and Dow Jones Index returned $124. The Innovation Index beats the S & P 500, NASDAQ and Dow Jones Index by 77% over the last five years.

The Normalized Innovation Index has returned an impressive 174% over the last five years. This assumes equal investment in each stock of The Innovation Index as of December 31, 2001.

2008 - Alphabetical list of the Top 20 Innovators of The Innovation Index and their stock ticker symbols for 2008:

3M Company - (NYSE: MMM)
Amazon.com, Inc. - (NASDAQ: AMZN)
America Movil - (NYSE: AMX)
Apple Inc. - (NASDAQ: AAPL)
AT&T Inc. - (NYSE: T)
Best Buy Co., Inc. - (NYSE: BBY)
Cisco Systems, Inc. - (NASDAQ: CSCO)
Costco Wholesale Corporation - (NASDAQ: COST)
eBay Inc. - (NASDAQ: EBAY)
General Electric Co. - (NYSE: GE)
Google Inc. - (NASDAQ: GOOG)
Hewlett-Packard Co. - (NYSE: HPQ)
Intel Corporation - (NYSE: INTC)
International Business Machines Corp. - (NYSE: IBM)
Merck & Co., Inc. - (NYSE: MRK)
McDonald's Corporation (NYSE: MCD)
Microsoft Corporation - (NASDAQ: MSFT)
NIKE, Inc. - (NYSE: NKE)
Research In Motion Limited - (NASDAQ: RIMM)
The Proctor & Gamble Company - (NYSE: PG)

2007 - Alphabetical list of the Top 20 Innovators of The Innovation Index and their stock ticker symbols for 2007:

3M Company - (NYSE: MMM)
Amazon.com, Inc. - (NASDAQ: AMZN)
America Movil - (NYSE: AMX)
Apple Inc. - (NASDAQ: AAPL)
Cisco Systems, Inc. - (NASDAQ: CSCO)
Dell Inc. - (NASDAQ: DELL)
eBay Inc. - (NASDAQ: EBAY)
General Electric Co. - (NYSE: GE)
Google Inc. - (NASDAQ: GOOG)
Hewlett-Packard Co. - (NYSE: HPQ)
Intel Corporation - (NYSE: INTC)
International Business Machines Corp. - (NYSE: IBM)
Microsoft Corporation - (NASDAQ: MSFT)
Research In Motion Limited - (NASDAQ: RIMM)
Southwest Airlines Co. - (NYSE: LUV)
Starbucks Corporation - (NASDAQ: SBUX)
Target Corp. - (NYSE: TGT)
The Proctor & Gamble Company - (NYSE: PG)
Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. - (NYSE: WMT)
Yahoo! Inc. - (NASDAQ: YHOO)

The Innovation Index will analyze the positions and standings of the Top 20 Innovators at the end of each year. For 2008, there will be no further changes in The Innovation Index.

Disclaimer: The Innovation Index Group, Inc. invests in the stocks comprising The Innovation Index.

Tuesday, December 18, 2007

The Innovation Index levels at 56%, crushes major U.S. indices

Invest in The Innovation Index - Invest in the brand new Innovation Index Fund


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The Innovation Index gained 3 points after a short drop last month, and has now gained 56% for the year, effectively tying the performance at the end of the 3rd quarter. Could this be another banner year for The Innovation Index? The Innovation Index easily crushes the major U.S indices including the S & P 500, NASDAQ and Dow Jones. S & P 500 dropped 5% after the third quarter, and is now up only 2% for the year; NASDAQ shed 5% after the third quarter, and is now up only 7% for the year; the Dow Jones Index also dropped 5%, and is now up 6% for the year.


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The Innovation Index closed at 101.28 on December 17, 2007, effectively even from the closing price of 101.39 on Sep 28, 2007, and up 56% from the closing price of 65.05 on December 29, 2006.

The Innovators were busy in November, 2007 and went on an acquisition spree. Here were some of the top acquisitions by the top innovators.

Mid-Quarter Leaders

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) is the leader mid-quarter, after adding another 20%, and gaining a massive 117% for the year - early results indicate good results for Apple’s 4 horsemen: iPod/iTunes, iPhone, Leopard and the Mac. Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) is next at 18% increase mid-quarter, and up by a solid 45% for the year – Google’s Search is increasing market share and forays into video and integrated advertising appear to gaining strength. Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT), the earlier leader mid-quarter with 17% gains is third, up 16% for the year – Vista is gaining full steam, and also the Office productivity software. Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (NYSE: WMT) with gains of 10% on the heels of a good November is next up, and up 4% for the year. Only 3 more Innovators have gains mid quarter - Research In Motion Limited (NASDAQ: RIMM) continued the bull run with another 2% gain, leading all innovators with 135%. The Proctor & Gamble Company (NYSE: PG) added 4%, with an envious 15% gain for the year, and Hewlett-Packard Co. (NYSE: HPQ) stayed true to form with 2% gain, and a healthy 24% increase for the year. These innovators are enjoying an impressive 2007 to date.

Mid-Quarter Laggards

It has been a tough quarter so far for many innovators and the U.S. stock market at large. Nine innovators have double-digit losses mid-quarter, and four innovators are in the red with single-digit losses. Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ: SBUX) has lost 23% this quarter, and is now down a huge 43% for the year. Where are those consumers buying White Chocolate Mochas and Lattes? Starbucks could use more during the cold season. Target Corp. (NYSE: TGT) and eBay Inc. (NASDAQ: EBAY) are next losing 18% this quarter; Target is down 9% for the year, however eBay is up 6% for the year. Target had disappointing November sales and the outlook for December did not improve either. eBay on the other hand is hoping that consumers spend a ton of money trading the Nintendo WIIs, iPods and other high value products during the quarter.

Cisco Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ: CSCO) has given up 16% for the quarter, and is only up 2% for the year. Can Cisco rebound? Dell Inc. (NASDAQ: DELL) disappointed the investors with the results, and is facing growth challenges. Dell is down 14% this quarter, and 6% for the year. Yahoo! Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) has lost 14% for the quarter, and is down 10% for the year. If Yahoo finishes the year in red, this will be back to back years of investment losses. Is Yahoo a potential acquisition target in 2008? Southwest Airlines Co. (NYSE: LUV) can’t escape the rising oil prices either, and is down 13% for the quarter, and down 16% for the year. Southwest could also end up having back-to-back year of negative gains. Can travelers return to Southwest, and would they enjoy the new “business” service.

Bell-weather GE (NYSE: GE) has given up 12% this quarter, and is now down 2% for the year. Even the GE CEO is buying back shares. Can GE finish the year in positive? International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE: IBM) has also lost 11% this quarter, although has gained 8% for the year. IBM is poised to finish the year on a positive note with an announced stock buyback program. Other notable innovators with losses in the 4th quarter include: 3M Company (NYSE: MMM) with 8% loss for the quarter and up a solid 11% for the year, Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) down 9% for the quarter although up a huge 116% for the year, and America Movil (NYSE: AMX) down 8% for the quarter, although up a respectable 30% for the year. Tough quarter indeed for these innovators. Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC) is only down 1% this quarter, and is up a rosy 28% for the year. The good news is that fourteen of the twenty innovators are still in positive ground and with a good year-end holiday rally, they could be all going home happy along with their investors.

Yearly Leaders and Laggards

Who sits on the top of The Innovation Index? There is a change in the top position. Research In Motion Limited - (NASDAQ: RIMM) is the leader of the pack at 135% gains for the year. Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) is next up with 117% appreciation for the year. Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) is holding steady with 116% gains for the year. There are seven other innovators with double-digit gains for the year.

Five innovators are in the negative territory. Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ: SBUX) is the significant decliner, down 43% for the year. Southwest Airlines Co. (NYSE: LUV) has lost 16% for the year. Finally, Yahoo! Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) is down 10% for the year.

Year End Predictions

Where will The Innovation Index end up when all is said and done? Is there a rally in store for the broader market that will only boost The Innovation Index? We project The Innovation Index to inch up to around 60% for the year, gaining over 4% during the remainder of the year. The consumers will finish their Christmas shopping with a bang this week, and give some of the retailers a much-needed push.

Invest in the Innovation Index Fund

I just announced the launch of a new Innovation Index Fund last week that invests in the Innovation Index. We have opened the new private placement fund for serious investors seeking to maximize their investment returns and wanting to invest at least $25K. If you want to learn more about the Innovation Index Fund, check this announcement first, then browse to Innovation Index Group website at: http://www.innovationindexgroup.com Finally, fill out your contact information at the bottom of this form: http://www.innovationindexgroup.com/invest.html

The Innovation Index Reports:

Invest in The Innovation Index - Invest in the brand new Innovation Index Fund
Introducing The Innovation Index Fund - Invest into The Innovation Index
Top 50 Innovative Companies in the world - 2007 Report on Top 50 Companies
Annual Report - Chapter One - Total Innovation Activity - 2006 Annual Report One
Annual Report - Chapter Two - The Top Innovator - 2006 Annual Report Two
Annual Report - Chapter Three - The Innovation Insights - 2006 Annual Report Insights
Innovation and Stock Performance Correlation - The Innovation Index and Stock Performance
The Innovation Index gallops to 56% - Quarterly Report - Q3, 2007
The Innovation Index gains 3% during the first quarter - Quarterly Report - Q1, 2007

About The Innovation Index

The Innovation Index introduced in December 2006 is a weighted stock price index of the top 20 Innovators in North America.

The Innovation Index has returned 119% over the last five years. This assumes an investment in each stock of The Innovation Index (buying each stock). An average of $100 invested in The Innovation Index on December 31, 2001 returned $219 as of December 29, 2006. By comparison, $100 invested in each of S & P 500, NASDAQ and Dow Jones Index returned $124. The Innovation Index beats the S & P 500, NASDAQ and Dow Jones Index by 77% over the last five years.

The Normalized Innovation Index has returned an impressive 174% over the last five years. This assumes equal investment in each stock of The Innovation Index as of December 31, 2001.

Alphabetical list of the top 20 Innovators of The Innovation Index and their stock ticker symbols:

3M Company - (NYSE: MMM)
Amazon.com, Inc. - (NASDAQ: AMZN)
America Movil - (NYSE: AMX)
Apple Inc. - (NASDAQ: AAPL)
Cisco Systems, Inc. - (NASDAQ: CSCO)
Dell Inc. - (NASDAQ: DELL)
eBay Inc. - (NASDAQ: EBAY)
General Electric Co. - (NYSE: GE)
Google Inc. - (NASDAQ: GOOG)
Hewlett-Packard Co. - (NYSE: HPQ)
Intel Corporation - (NYSE: INTC)
International Business Machines Corp. - (NYSE: IBM)
Microsoft Corporation - (NASDAQ: MSFT)
Research In Motion Limited - (NASDAQ: RIMM)
Southwest Airlines Co. - (NYSE: LUV)
Starbucks Corporation - (NASDAQ: SBUX)
Target Corp. - (NYSE: TGT)
The Proctor & Gamble Company - (NYSE: PG)
Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. - (NYSE: WMT)
Yahoo! Inc. - (NASDAQ: YHOO)

The Innovation Index will analyze the positions and standings of the top 20 Innovators at the end of each year. For 2007, there will be no further changes in The Innovation Index.

Disclaimer: I invest in the stocks comprising The Innovation Index.

Friday, December 7, 2007

Top Acquisitions by the Top Innovators

Invest in The Innovation Index - Invest in the brand new Innovation Index Fund

November 2007 was a busy month for the top 20 Innovators of The Innovation Index. Besides announcing key innovations, and staying on course with 53% performance gains for the year, the Innovators added more punch - in the form of key acquisitions, mostly large. Here is a roundup of top acquisitions by the top innovators in November, and the potential impact of these acquisitions in 2008:

3M (NYSE: MMM) and Aearo Technologies Inc. (NYSE: AER) announced that "they have entered into a definitive agreement for 3M's acquisition of Aearo for a total purchase price of $1.2 billion, to be financed through a combination of cash and other borrowings. Aearo is a global leader in the personal protection industry and manufactures and markets personal protection and energy absorbing products. Aearo is owned by funds advised by Permira, a leading global private equity firm, and company management." For the past year, Aearo had revenue of $508 million, growing at a CAGR of 12%. Key Aearo brands include: E-A-R, Peltor, AOSafety and SafeWaze.

According to 3M press, "Aearo will significantly expand 3M's occupational health and environmental safety platform by adding hearing protection as well as eyewear and fall protection product lines to 3M's existing full-line of respiratory products. It provides a broad platform for accelerated growth. This acquisition enables 3M to provide industrial, military and construction customers as well as consumers with a more complete personal protection solution."

Further, Aearo has a reputation for developing high-quality, innovative products and strong market competitiveness. "The complete Aearo product line includes passive hearing, communication headsets, eye protection, head and face protection and fall protection. The company also markets systems solutions and proprietary energy absorbing materials, which are incorporated into other manufacturers' products to control noise, vibration, shock and temperature."

Bottomline: Expect 3M to increase the revenue by $550 to $650 million with Aearo acquisition; also, 3M legitimately and significantly expands it's occupational health and environmental safety platform to more than 70 countries where Aearo is already marketed and sold.

Earlier in the month, 3M also announced that "it has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire the business of Bondo Corp., a manufacturer of auto body repair products for the automotive aftermarket and various other professional and consumer applications.

Bondo's established brand complements 3M's well-known line of auto body repair products for the automotive aftermarket. Bondo brand products are designed for and widely recognized by both auto body repair professionals and enthusiasts. Products include body filler, fiberglass repair materials, under coatings, and adhesives. Bondo products are sold to the auto body professional market through auto body paint specialty stores in addition to mass merchandisers and auto parts retailers."

Bondo manufactures and markets automotive body repair, household repair and marine products under the Bondo, Mar-Hyde, Bondo Home Solutions, Dynatron, Marson, Laminex and Bondo Marine brand names.

Bottomline: Bondo, which was predominant in the South and Southeast, will open a huge distribution channel through 3M's network of dealers. Although, the deal will not have a significant EPS impact in 2008, it gives 3M key products with which to expand the Automotive line of business.

Dell (NASDAQ:DELL), another top 20 innovator, "signed an agreement to acquire privately held Everdream Corp., a leading provider of Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) solutions for remote-service management." Since terms were not declared, this appears to be a small investment for Dell.

Bottomline: Everdream could be a key component in Dell's strategy of enabling customers to Simplify IT. "Everdream's capabilities complement those provided by the recently acquired SilverBack Technologies, further enabling end-to-end remote management of customers' IT environments. With this acquisition, Dell can now extend remote management of critical IT assets from servers, storage, printers, etc. to desktops, notebooks and other end-user devices globally." Is Dell done with acquisitions in this market? This will have a minimal impact on EPS for 2008.

Earlier in the month, Dell (NASDAQ:DELL) announced plans to acquire EqualLogic, a leading provider of high-performance iSCSI storage area network (SAN) solutions uniquely optimized for virtualization. The acquisition will strengthen Dell's product and channel leadership in simplifying and virtualizing IT for customers globally. iSCSI SAN technology represents the fastest growing part of the storage business.

"Under the terms of the agreement, Dell will purchase EqualLogic for approximately $1.4 billion in cash. The acquisition of EqualLogic is expected to close late in the fourth quarter of Dell's fiscal year 2008 or early in the first quarter of fiscal 2009. The company expects the acquisition to be dilutive to earnings per share, excluding the amortization of intangibles, by $0.02 to $0.05 in aggregate for Fiscal 2009 and Fiscal 2010."

Bottomline: Dell spent a lot of money for this company and placing big bets on storage; however without an announced upside in revenue, rather a dilution of EPS, one can't help but think about the future revenue growth from this acquisition. Dell has "plans to grow EqualLogic's successful channel-partner programs with current and future EqualLogic-branded products, and also to incorporate EqualLogic technology into future generations of its Dell PowerVault storage line available through the channel and direct from Dell." The investors will be in a "wait-and-watch" mode here until Dell sees real revenue growth from these acquisitions.

IBM (NYSE: IBM), a top 20 innovator, and Cognos(R) (NASDAQ: COGN) (TSX: CSN) announced that "the two companies have entered into a definitive agreement for IBM to acquire Cognos, a publicly-held company based in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, in an all-cash transaction at a price of approximately $5 billion USD or $58 USD per share, with a net transaction value of $4.9 billion USD. It is expected to close in the first quarter of 2008."

In one word, this acquisition is HUGE!! Huge for Cognos shareholders. Especially, since this was an all cash deal.

"The acquisition of Cognos supports IBM's Information on Demand strategy, a cross-company initiative announced on February 16, 2006 that combines IBM's strength in information integration, content and data management and business consulting services to unlock the business value of information. Integrating Cognos, the 23rd IBM acquisition in support of its Information on Demand strategy, will enable new business insights to be delivered to a broader set of people across an organization, beyond the traditional users of business intelligence.

IBM said the acquisition fits squarely within both its acquisition strategy and capital allocation model, and that it will contribute to the achievement of the company's objective for earnings-per-share growth through 2010."

Bottomline: Together, IBM and Cognos are poised to become the leading provider of technology and services for Business Intelligence (BI) and Performance Management, and Business process management and possibly financial management. Cognos provides a technology platform and leadership that IBM was lacking; on the other hand IBM provides a worldwide distribution platform for Cognos across multiple industries and geographies. Together, both companies provide a complete integrated solution. This acquisition will have a nominal upside on 2008 earnings for IBM. If IBM Global Services make Cognos an integral part of their portfolio, the potential upside is huge.

Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT), another top 20 innovator, announced acquisition of Musiwave SA, an Openwave company (NASDAQ: OPWV) and a leading provider of mobile music entertainment services to operators and media companies, in particular in Europe. The terms of the pending acquisition were not announced.

"Mobile operators are continually looking for ways to deliver digital entertainment to their customers, and have looked to companies such as Musiwave to deliver music services that help provide the necessary infrastructure. As a provider of white-label music solutions to mobile operators in Europe, Musiwave has helped to bring a rich selection of millions of ringtones, full-track downloads and music videos to consumers." According to technology research firm Ovum, 1,106 million mobile music phones will be shipped worldwide in 2010.

Bottomline: The acquisition would bring Musiwave's relationships with music labels, device makers and mobile operators that deliver digital entertainment to consumers, together with Microsoft's Connected Entertainment technologies and services, including Windows Mobile, Zune, MSN and Windows Live. This is a strategic entry point for Microsoft in Europe, and provides Microsoft a network and a platform on which to serve up mobile entertainment. Whereas Windows Mobile provides the client entry point on mobile, Musiwave extends this further into the world of music services delivered through a solid network. Musiwave is Microsoft's answer to iTunes.

November was a busy month for some of the top innovators. Would these acquisitions lead to more innovations and positively impact the 2008 revenue for these innovators? Would Innovation Index sizzle in 2008 as it has in 2007 due to these acquisitions and its direct impact on revenue growth? We will have to fast forward to July 2008 to find answers to these questions. For now, the innovators have paved the way with key acquisitions.

The Innovation Index Reports:

Invest in The Innovation Index - Invest in the brand new Innovation Index Fund
Top 50 Innovative Companies in the world - 2007 Report on Top 50 Companies
Annual Report - Chapter One - Total Innovation Activity - 2006 Annual Report One
Annual Report - Chapter Two - The Top Innovator - 2006 Annual Report Two
Annual Report - Chapter Three - The Innovation Insights - 2006 Annual Report Insights
Innovation and Stock Performance Correlation - The Innovation Index and Stock Performance
The Innovation Index gallops to 56% - Quarterly Report - Q3, 2007
The Innovation Index gains 3% during the first quarter - Quarterly Report - Q1, 2007

About The Innovation Index

The Innovation Index introduced in December 2006 is a weighted stock price index of the top 20 Innovators in North America.

The Innovation Index has returned 119% over the last five years. This assumes an investment in each stock of The Innovation Index (buying each stock). An average of $100 invested in The Innovation Index on December 31, 2001 returned $219 as of December 29, 2006. By comparison, $100 invested in each of S & P 500, NASDAQ and Dow Jones Index returned $124. The Innovation Index beats the S & P 500, NASDAQ and Dow Jones Index by 77% over the last five years.

The Normalized Innovation Index has returned an impressive 174% over the last five years. This assumes equal investment in each stock of The Innovation Index as of December 31, 2001.

Alphabetical list of the top 20 Innovators of The Innovation Index and their stock ticker symbols:

3M Company - (NYSE: MMM)
Amazon.com, Inc. - (NASDAQ: AMZN)
America Movil - (NYSE: AMX)
Apple Inc. - (NASDAQ: AAPL)
Cisco Systems, Inc. - (NASDAQ: CSCO)
Dell Inc. - (NASDAQ: DELL)
eBay Inc. - (NASDAQ: EBAY)
General Electric Co. - (NYSE: GE)
Google Inc. - (NASDAQ: GOOG)
Hewlett-Packard Co. - (NYSE: HPQ)
Intel Corporation - (NYSE: INTC)
International Business Machines Corp. - (NYSE: IBM)
Microsoft Corporation - (NASDAQ: MSFT)
Research In Motion Limited - (NASDAQ: RIMM)
Southwest Airlines Co. - (NYSE: LUV)
Starbucks Corporation - (NASDAQ: SBUX)
Target Corp. - (NYSE: TGT)
The Proctor & Gamble Company - (NYSE: PG)
Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. - (NYSE: WMT)
Yahoo! Inc. - (NASDAQ: YHOO)

The Innovation Index will analyze the positions and standings of the top 20 Innovators at the end of each year. For 2007, there will be no further changes in The Innovation Index.

Disclaimer: I invest in the stocks comprising The Innovation Index.

Thursday, November 15, 2007

The Innovation Index stays course at 53%, crushes major U.S. indices, Mid-Quarterly Report 11-15-2007



The Innovation Index steadied after the monster third quarter in 2007. The Innovation Index dropped 3% after the third quarter, and has now gained 53% for the year. The Innovation Index has already quadrupled the 2006 performance, and we still have a half quarter to go. Is there a Holiday rally this year? Could this be another banner year for The Innovation Index? The Innovation Index easily crushes the major U.S. indices including the S & P 500, NASDAQ and Dow Jones. S & P 500 dropped 5% after the third quarter, and is now up only 2% for the year; NASDAQ shed 3% after the third quarter, and is up to single-digit gains at 8% for the year; the Dow Jones Index dropped the most - 6%, and is up 5% for the year.



The Innovation Index closed at 99.80 on November 15, 2007, down 3% from the closing price of 101.39 on Sep 28, 2007, and up 53% from the closing price of 65.05 on December 29, 2006.

Mid-Quarter Leaders

Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) is the leader mid-quarter at 15% gains, up 13% for the year. Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) is next at 11% increase mid-quarter, and up by a good 37% for the year. Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) added another 7% mid-quarter, and is up a huge 94% for the year. Only 3 more Innovators have gains mid quarter - Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (NYSE: WMT) with gains of 6%, although flat for the year; Research In Motion Limited (NASDAQ: RIMM) continued the bull run with another 5% gain, leading all innovators with 142%, and The Proctor & Gamble Company (NYSE: PG) added 2%, with a respectable 12% for the year.

Mid-Quarter Laggards

It has been a tough quarter so far for many innovators and the market at large. Six innovators have double-digit losses mid-quarter. 3M Company (NYSE: MMM) with 15% loss for the quarter and up only 3% for the year, Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) down 16% for the quarter although up a huge 97% for the year, Cisco Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ: CSCO) giving up 12% for the quarter and up 7% for the year, eBay Inc. (NASDAQ: EBAY) dropping a huge 18% however staying positive at 7% for the year, International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE: IBM) shedding 12% during the quarter and staying at 7% also, and Target Corp. (NYSE: TGT) tumbling 13% during the quarter and down 3% for the year. Tough indeed. The good news is that most of the innovators are still in positive ground and with a good year-end holiday rally, they could be all going happy along with their investors.

Yearly Leaders and Laggards

Who sits on the top of The Innovation Index? There is a change in the top position. Research In Motion Limited - (NASDAQ: RIMM) is the leader of the pack at 142% gains for the year. Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) is next with 97% gains for the year. Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) is next up with 94% appreciation for the year. There are six other innovators with double-digit gains for the year.

Only three innovators are in the negative territory. Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ: SBUX) is the significant decliner, down 32% for the year. Southwest Airlines Co. (NYSE: LUV) has lost 8% for the year. Finally, Target Corp. (NYSE: TGT) is down 3% for the year.

Year End Predictions

Where will The Innovation Index end up when all is said and done? Is there a rally in store for the broader market that will only boost The Innovation Index? We project The Innovation Index to close over 65% for the year, gaining over 12% for the remainder of the year. The consumers will resume their buying beginning next week, speed up during the Thanksgiving weekend, and shop till they drop in December. This year the consumers are waiting for a bit of good news and a warm, fuzzy feeling before the holidays. This will happen, although will happen later than the usual shopping period. Sure the retailers will need to lure the shoppers with more specials and higher discounts; however, once the shoppers begin to return, they will in turn bring in more shoppers. If the weather stays unusually warm though, ironically, it could negatively impact the stock market and The Innovation Index.

The Innovation Index Reports:

Top 50 Innovative Companies in the world - 2007 Report on Top 50 Companies
Annual Report - Chapter One - Total Innovation Activity - 2006 Annual Report One
Annual Report - Chapter Two - The Top Innovator - 2006 Annual Report Two
Annual Report - Chapter Three - The Innovation Insights - 2006 Annual Report Insights
Innovation and Stock Performance Correlation - The Innovation Index and Stock Performance
The Innovation Index gallops to 56% - Quarterly Report - Q3, 2007
The Innovation Index gains 3% during the first quarter - Quarterly Report - Q1, 2007

About The Innovation Index

The Innovation Index introduced in December 2006 is a weighted stock price index of the top 20 Innovators in North America.

The Innovation Index has returned 119% over the last five years. This assumes an investment in each stock of The Innovation Index (buying each stock). An average of $100 invested in The Innovation Index on December 31, 2001 returned $219 as of December 29, 2006. By comparison, $100 invested in each of S & P 500, NASDAQ and Dow Jones Index returned $124. The Innovation Index beats the S & P 500, NASDAQ and Dow Jones Index by 77% over the last five years.

The Normalized Innovation Index has returned an impressive 174% over the last five years. This assumes equal investment in each stock of The Innovation Index as of December 31, 2001.

Alphabetical list of the top 20 Innovators of The Innovation Index and their stock ticker symbols:

3M Company - (NYSE: MMM)
Amazon.com, Inc. - (NASDAQ: AMZN)
America Movil - (NYSE: AMX)
Apple Inc. - (NASDAQ: AAPL)
Cisco Systems, Inc. - (NASDAQ: CSCO)
Dell Inc. - (NASDAQ: DELL)
eBay Inc. - (NASDAQ: EBAY)
General Electric Co. - (NYSE: GE)
Google Inc. - (NASDAQ: GOOG)
Hewlett-Packard Co. - (NYSE: HPQ)
Intel Corporation - (NYSE: INTC)
International Business Machines Corp. - (NYSE: IBM)
Microsoft Corporation - (NASDAQ: MSFT)
Research In Motion Limited - (NASDAQ: RIMM)
Southwest Airlines Co. - (NYSE: LUV)
Starbucks Corporation - (NASDAQ: SBUX)
Target Corp. - (NYSE: TGT)
The Proctor & Gamble Company - (NYSE: PG)
Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. - (NYSE: WMT)
Yahoo! Inc. - (NASDAQ: YHOO)

The Innovation Index will analyze the positions and standings of the top 20 Innovators at the end of each year. For 2007, there will be no further changes in The Innovation Index.

Disclaimer: I invest in the stocks comprising The Innovation Index.