Thursday, June 26, 2008

Research In Motion and Nike continue torrid growth, show no slowdown

NIKE, Inc. (NYSE: NKE) and Research In Motion Limited (NASDAQ: RIMM) are 2 of the Top 20 Innovators of The Innovation Index.

Research In Motion Quarterly Revenue rises 107%, Quarterly Net Income zooms 116% year over year.
RIM Revenue for the first quarter of fiscal 2009 was $2.24 billion, up 19% from $1.88 billion in the previous quarter and up 107% from $1.08 billion in the same quarter of last year. The revenue breakdown for the quarter was approximately 82% for devices, 13% for service, 3% for software and 2% for other revenue. During the quarter, RIM shipped approximately 5.4 million devices.

Approximately 2.3 million net new BlackBerry(R) subscriber accounts were added in the quarter. At the end of the quarter, the total BlackBerry subscriber account base was over 16 million.

Net income for the quarter was $482.5 million, or $0.84 per share diluted, compared with net income of $412.5 million, or $0.72 per share diluted, in the prior quarter and net income of $223.2 million, or $0.39 per share diluted, in the same quarter last year.

Revenue for the second quarter of fiscal 2009 ending August 30, 2008 is expected to be in the range of $2.55-$2.65 billion. Net subscriber account additions in the second quarter are expected to be approximately 2.6 million. Earnings per share for the second quarter are expected to be in the range of $0.84-$0.89 per share diluted.
Nike delivers yet again, and stays with the high growth trajectory.
For the fiscal year, Nike revenues grew 14 percent to $18.6 billion, compared to $16.3 billion last year. Net income increased 26 percent to $1.9 billion, compared to $1.5 billion last year, and diluted earnings per share increased 28 percent to $3.74 versus $2.93 last year. For the fourth quarter, revenues increased 16 percent to $5.1 billion, compared to $4.4 billion for the same period last year. Fourth quarter net income increased 12 percent to $490.5 million, compared to $437.9 million in the prior year, and diluted earnings per share increased 14 percent to $0.98, versus $0.86 last year.

Future Orders

The Company reported worldwide futures orders for athletic footwear and apparel, scheduled for delivery from June 2008 through November 2008, totaling $8.8 billion, 11 percent higher than such orders reported for the same period last year.
Bottomline:

Both RIM and Nike are showing no slowdown from the U.S. economy. Both provided cautious future earnings outlook to account for potential slowdown in their U.S. earnings; however, the Wall Street analysts reacted to this realistic outlook gravely, and posted negative sentiment about the same. Both companies are still growing strong, and even their outlook shows solid top line revenue growth. RIM in particular slightly lowered the future net earnings owing to higher marketing costs attributed to launch of new products. Nothing unusual. However, the analysts are always seeking the smallest sign of weakness, and blowing it out of proportion. Nike also talked about weaker growth in the U.S. markets. And the same thing. Analysts reacted negatively to this. And their negative comments caused these stocks to go in a free fall, and even helped the market go down (it did not help that oil hit $140 a barrel). Both innovators are showing strong growth, and are not slowing down any time soon. Perhaps these Wall Street analysts need to get real, and revise their estimates in line with the U.S. economy and its impact on the global economy. I applaud both RIM and Nike management to provide conservative outlook. In time, the analysts and the investors will realize that both these companies are real gems, and will repeat the strong revenue and earnings growth. For now, the smart investor will get ample buying opportunity for these two top innovators.

Innovation Index Group has long-term BUY recommendations on the Top 20 Innovators of The Innovation Index, including RIM and Nike.

About Innovation Index Group:

Innovation Index Group, Inc. is a new investment management company focused on systematically identifying, tracking and investing in the most innovative publicly traded companies in North America – collectively called the Innovation Index. We have developed the Innovation Index Fund, LLC as our first vehicle to invest in the Innovation Index. Over the past six years, the Innovation Index would have generated a gross average annual return of 40% based on historical model.* The Innovation Index returned 66% in 2007*, and the Innovation Index Fund Manager is up 10% in 2008.*

Innovation Index Group, Inc. and Innovation Index Fund LLC are registered California Corporations, and member of the Irvine Chamber of Commerce in Orange County. Further, Innovation Index Fund LLC is an investment management company organized under the California state regulation, and is registered with Department of Corporations and SEC Regulation D.

The Innovation Index Reports:

Learn about The Innovation Index - Innovation Index Fund tracks The Innovation Index
The Innovation Index closes 2007 at 66% - 2007 Annual Report on the Innovation Index
Top 50 Innovative Companies in the world
- 2007 Report on Top 50 Innovative Companies
Annual Report - Chapter One - Total Innovation Activity - 2006 Annual Report One
Annual Report - Chapter Two - The Top Innovator - 2006 Annual Report Two
Annual Report - Chapter Three - The Innovation Insights - 2006 Annual Report Insights
Innovation and Stock Performance Correlation - The Innovation Index and Stock Performance

About The Innovation Index

The Innovation Index introduced in December 2006 is a weighted stock price index of the top 20 Innovators in North America.

The Innovation Index returned 66% in 2007 based on performance model, and would have returned 174% over the previous five years (2002-2006) based on historical model*. This assumes equal investment in each stock of The Innovation Index as of December 31, 2001. An average of $100 invested in The Innovation Index on December 31, 2001 returned $454 as of December 31, 2007. By comparison, $100 invested in S & P 500 returned 28% or $129, $100 invested in NASDAQ returned 34% or $136, and $100 invested in the Dow Jones Index returned 30% or $131 through December 31, 2007. The Innovation Index beats the S & P 500, NASDAQ and Dow Jones Index by more than seven times over the past six years.*

Alphabetical list of the Top 20 Innovators of The Innovation Index for 2008 and their stock ticker symbols:

3M Company - (NYSE: MMM)
Amazon.com, Inc. - (NASDAQ: AMZN)
America Movil - (NYSE: AMX)
Apple Inc. - (NASDAQ: AAPL)
AT&T Inc. - (NYSE: T)
Best Buy Co., Inc. - (NYSE: BBY)
Cisco Systems, Inc. - (NASDAQ: CSCO)
Costco Wholesale Corporation - (NASDAQ: COST)
eBay Inc. - (NASDAQ: EBAY)
General Electric Co. - (NYSE: GE)
Google Inc. - (NASDAQ: GOOG)
Hewlett-Packard Co. - (NYSE: HPQ)
Intel Corporation - (NASDAQ: INTC)
International Business Machines Corp. - (NYSE: IBM)
Merck & Co., Inc. - (NYSE: MRK)
McDonald's Corporation (NYSE: MCD)
Microsoft Corporation - (NASDAQ: MSFT)
NIKE, Inc. - (NYSE: NKE)
Research In Motion Limited - (NASDAQ: RIMM)
The Proctor & Gamble Company - (NYSE: PG)

The Innovation Index will analyze the positions and standings of the Top 20 Innovators at the end of each year. For 2008, there will be no further changes in The Innovation Index.

Disclaimer: The Innovation Index Group, Inc. invests in the stocks comprising The Innovation Index.
*Past Performance Does Not Guarantee Future Results

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