Top Innovators Weathering the Financial Storm

HEWLETT-PACKARD

only FOR WOMEN: Fashion designer Vivienne Tam flanked by President (PSG), Hewlett-Packard India, Ravi Swaminathan (left), and Senior Vice-President Global Marketing, Hewlett Packard, Satjiv S. Chahil

Hewlett-Packard unveiled four new laptops, including a special edition stylish notebook PC designed by U.S.-based renowned fashion designer Vivienne Tam. HP has about 33 percent market share in India's laptop segment.

Addressing a press conference here, HP's Senior Vice-President (Global Marketing) of Personal Systems Group (PSG) Satjiv S. Chahil said: "We continuously work to ensure that our HP Pavilion line appeals to new markets and segments. Vivienne's fresh and authentic design speaks to an intrinsic part of a digital lifestyle-personal expression." According to HP India's President (PSG) Ravi Swaminathan, the company plans to strengthen its market leadership position with an aggressive 'go-to-market' strategy by increasing its retail footprint across 650 cities and expanding retail partner network to over 10,000 by this year-end.

HP Vice President in an interview today on CNBC indicated that HP PC business remains robust, and touted Gartner report that shows growth of at least 15%.

HP shares are down 23.5% year to date. Innovation Index Group has a BUY recommendation on HP with a 12 month price target of $50 to $60.

PROCTOR & GAMBLE

Mr. A.G. Lafley, CEO of P&G, said: "The reason P&G has grown so consistently for so long is that we're a company that sticks to the fundamentals. We build brands that improve consumers' lives. We deliver superior value day in and day out. We manage cash and costs with unrelenting discipline. And we invest in innovation as the primary driver of profitable organic sales growth.

"While the economic environment remains volatile and uncertain, I am confident that P&G can and will continue to prosper over the long term. We are committed to ensuring P&G will continue to be a company you can count on."

P&G's net sales for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2008 increased nine percent to $83.5 billion, with organic sales up five percent - in the middle of the Company's four to six percent target range. Diluted earnings per share were $3.64, up 20 percent - or double the Company's ten percent target. P&G's free cash flow was $13.0 billion for the fiscal year, or 106 percent of net earnings - well above the Company's 90 percent goal.

P&G sales have nearly doubled for each of the past three decades - from $10 billion in 1980 to more than $80 billion today with earnings growth increasing from $640 million to $12 billion over the same period. Over the past five years, P&G has delivered 11 percent compound annual total return to shareholders, nine percent over the past ten years, and 16 percent over the past 20 years. The Company's dividends have also increased every year - more than nine percent a year, on average - over the past fifty-two years, and have been paid without interruption since the Company was incorporated 118 years ago. P&G recently announced a 40 cents dividend.

P&G shares are down 15.8% year to date. Innovation Index Group has a BUY recommendation on P&G with a 12 month price target of $75 to $85

APPLE

JP Morgan is upgrading Apple to Overweight from Neutral. Apple's model is far more diverse than previous vintages, and they think the staying power has been underappreciated. With its market share momentum likely intact, Apple in firm's view offers strong relative downside protection to the looming earnings reset that they expect to impact IT Hardware companies in coming weeks and again early next year.

- Diverse model provides staying power. There has been considerable investor concern lately over the Apple model losing steam, particularly if the consumer vertical rolls over. JPM estimates that the company's total model exposure is about 70-75% consumer, but they think that Apple's brand and market share momentum offer meaningful buffers to potential macro-driven pressures on the consumer.

- Retail expansion could sustain share gains and international momentum. JPM thinks a major force behind Apple's growth story will be its diversifying revenue streams. They expect Apple's penetration of the international markets to be measured in years and supported by the increasing build-out of the retail stores overseas.

- iPhone could lead to the enterprise or other content-rich devices. Firm thinks the iPhone could be a stepping stone to penetrating the enterprise. Also, they could envision the iPhone pushing Apple deeper into the set-top box market as the convergence of voice, web, data, and content continues.

- Expect numbers to come down across the sector, but Apple likely has a backstop beyond the first round. For Apple, they are revising their below-consensus revenue and EPS estimates. Looking to fiscal 2009, revenue and EPS estimates are $36.98 billion and $5.27, versus the Street consensus of $40.26 billion and $6.02.

- Apple trades at 18.8x JPM's calendar 2009 EPS estimate, versus the peer group average of 11.1x. With macro pressures showing no signs of dissipating, they believe it is time to play defense, and they think Apple can avoid having a major problem with the "E" in the price-to-earnings multiple moving through the coming year. Firm expects the company's model to limit a series of major earnings cuts from unfolding in coming quarters, and they think this should support a valuation gap in Apple's favor.

Apple announced new aluminum shell, more powerful laptops on October 14, and reduced the price on updated laptops to under $1,000. Apple is poised to see a robust growth in its sale of notebooks during the holiday season owing to competitive pricing and better features.

Apple shares are down 48.6% year to date. Innovation Index Group has a BUY rating on Apple, and is now updating the 12 month price target in the range of $160 to $190.

IBM

JPMorgan upgrades IBM as a stock that is a 'sturdy ship' in rough economic waters

A JPMorgan analyst upgraded International Business Machines Corp. saying the company's diverse and steady revenue streams make the stock a "sturdy ship" in the worsening economic environment, the firm said Wednesday.

Mark Moskowitz raised his rating to "Overweight" from "Neutral" because IBM has diverse revenue sources that offer relative stability. He also said at least half of the company's revenue comes from annual payments on long-term services and software contracts.

IBM represents a "flight to quality" for investors" due to its broad services, hardware and software reach," the analyst wrote. IBM 3Q profits jumped 20% from last year in large part due to services contracts.

IBM shares are down 15.3% year to date. Innovation Index Group has a BUY recommendation on IBM with a 12 month price target of $125 to $150.

These four innovators present attractive buying opportunity at the current price points.

Innovation Index Reports

• Introducing The Innovation Index
• Annual Report 2007 - The Innovation Index gains 66%
• Measuring Business Innovation Success
• Innovation Index Group BUY Recommendations
• Q1 2008 Report - Innovation Index ahead of S&P 500
• Q2 2008 Report - Top Innovators Deliver
• The Innovation Index Fund FAQ
• Top 50 Innovative Companies in the world
• Annual Report - Chapter One - Total Innovation Activity
• Annual Report - Chapter Two - The Top Innovator
• Annual Report - Chapter Three - The Innovation Insights
• Innovation and Stock Performance Correlation
• Future earnings guidance, A leading indicator
• Smart Investing In Tough Economic Times
• To Sell Or Not To Sell - You Decide
• Creativity and Innovation Best Practices
• Creativity and Innovation Case Studies

About The Innovation Index

The Innovation Index introduced in December 2006 is a weighted stock price index of the top 20 Innovators in North America.

The Innovation Index returned 66% in 2007 based on performance model, and would have returned 174% over the previous five years (2002-2006) based on historical model*. This assumes equal investment in each stock of The Innovation Index as of December 31, 2001. An average of $100 invested in The Innovation Index on December 31, 2001 returned $454 as of December 31, 2007. By comparison, $100 invested in S & P 500 returned 28% or $129, $100 invested in NASDAQ returned 34% or $136, and $100 invested in the Dow Jones Index returned 30% or $131 through December 31, 2007. The Innovation Index beats the S & P 500, NASDAQ and Dow Jones Index by more than seven times over the past six years.*

Alphabetical list of the Top 20 Innovators of The Innovation Index for 2008 and their stock ticker symbols:

3M Company - (NYSE: MMM)
Amazon.com, Inc. - (NASDAQ: AMZN)
America Movil - (NYSE: AMX)
Apple Inc. - (NASDAQ: AAPL)
AT&T Inc. - (NYSE: T)
Best Buy Co., Inc. - (NYSE: BBY)
Cisco Systems, Inc. - (NASDAQ: CSCO)
Costco Wholesale Corporation - (NASDAQ: COST)
eBay Inc. - (NASDAQ: EBAY)
General Electric Co. - (NYSE: GE)
Google Inc. - (NASDAQ: GOOG)
Hewlett-Packard Co. - (NYSE: HPQ)
Intel Corporation - (NASDAQ: INTC)
International Business Machines Corp. - (NYSE: IBM)
Merck & Co., Inc. - (NYSE: MRK)
McDonald's Corporation (NYSE: MCD)
Microsoft Corporation - (NASDAQ: MSFT)
NIKE, Inc. - (NYSE: NKE)
Research In Motion Limited - (NASDAQ: RIMM)
The Proctor & Gamble Company - (NYSE: PG)

The Innovation Index will analyze the positions and standings of the Top 20 Innovators at the end of each year. For 2008, there will be no further changes in The Innovation Index.

Disclaimer: The Innovation Index Group, Inc. invests in the stocks comprising The Innovation Index.
*Past Performance Does Not Guarantee Future Results